[ { "abbr": "AL", "name": "Alabama", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Aerospace", "Steel"], "exportValueAtRisk": 8200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 42000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1620, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Poultry", "Cotton", "Soybeans"], "impactScore": 62, "analysis": "Alabama's economy faces a two-front tariff war. The state's booming auto sector — anchored by Mercedes-Benz in Tuscaloosa, Hyundai in Montgomery, and Honda in Lincoln — depends on integrated North American supply chains now disrupted by 25% auto tariffs. Every vehicle assembled in Alabama contains hundreds of parts crossing the Mexican and Canadian borders multiple times. Meanwhile, the Port of Mobile handles billions in steel and aluminum imports critical to the state's shipbuilding industry at Austal USA, which builds Navy combat ships. China's retaliatory tariffs directly target Alabama's $1.8B poultry export industry — the state is the nation's third-largest broiler producer — and its cotton exports to Asian mills. Aerospace giant Airbus assembles A320 jets in Mobile using globally-sourced components now subject to new duties. The compounding effect: higher input costs squeeze manufacturers while retaliation closes export markets, putting Alabama's blue-collar manufacturing renaissance at risk.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Automotive Manufacturing", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 3200000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 2100000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% components" }, { "industry": "Poultry & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliation targets" }, { "industry": "Steel & Metals", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 1100000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel/10% aluminum" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Assembled Vehicles", "direction": "export", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Aircraft & Parts", "direction": "export", "value": 2100000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Poultry", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Steel Imports", "direction": "import", "value": 1800000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts", "direction": "import", "value": 2400000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["SC", "TN", "GA"], "keyFacts": [ "Alabama is home to 4 major auto assembly plants producing over 1 million vehicles annually", "The Airbus Mobile assembly line is the only Airbus final assembly facility in the United States", "Alabama's poultry industry generates $15 billion in annual economic impact — retaliation threatens 30% of its export market", "Austal USA in Mobile builds littoral combat ships for the Navy using aluminum now subject to 10% tariffs" ] }, { "abbr": "AK", "name": "Alaska", "topExports": ["Seafood", "Oil & Gas", "Minerals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 4800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 18000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1480, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Seafood", "Zinc", "Oil"], "impactScore": 45, "analysis": "Alaska's tariff story is written in seafood and energy. The state is America's largest seafood exporter, shipping $3.2 billion annually — primarily wild salmon, pollock, and crab — with China and Japan as critical markets. China's retaliatory tariffs on American seafood have already devastated Alaska's fishing communities: processors that once shipped 30% of their catch to China have seen that market nearly vanish, with no equivalent buyer to absorb the surplus. The cruel irony: Alaska imports cheap processed seafood from countries like China (which processes Alaska-caught pollock and ships it back), meaning tariffs hit both directions. On the energy front, Alaska's oil exports face fewer direct tariff threats but LNG ambitions depend on Asian demand and global trade stability. The state's extreme remoteness amplifies consumer price impacts — nearly everything is imported, from building materials to groceries, making Alaska's $1,480 per-household tariff burden feel far heavier than the number suggests. Rural communities connected only by air or barge are particularly vulnerable.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Seafood & Fishing", "jobsAtRisk": 9000, "exportValue": 3200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-35%" }, { "industry": "Oil & Gas", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Indirect impacts" }, { "industry": "Mining & Minerals", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 400000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% on zinc/minerals" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Wild Salmon", "direction": "export", "value": 1400000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 30%" }, { "product": "Pollock", "direction": "export", "value": 1100000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Crude Oil", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Processed Seafood", "direction": "import", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Building Materials", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["ME", "HI"], "keyFacts": [ "Alaska produces over 60% of all US wild-caught seafood by volume", "China's retaliatory tariffs cut Alaska seafood exports to China by over 40% in prior trade wars", "Due to Alaska's isolation, tariffs on imported goods effectively act as a double tax — residents can't easily switch to domestic alternatives", "The Bristol Bay salmon fishery alone supports 14,000 seasonal jobs now threatened by lost Asian markets" ] }, { "abbr": "AZ", "name": "Arizona", "topExports": ["Semiconductors", "Aerospace", "Copper"], "exportValueAtRisk": 9500000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 55000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1750, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Cotton", "Copper", "Citrus"], "impactScore": 68, "analysis": "Arizona sits at the crossroads of America's semiconductor ambitions and its tariff contradictions. The state hosts TSMC's $40 billion fab complex in Phoenix — the centerpiece of US chip reshoring — yet tariffs on specialized equipment from Japan and the Netherlands increase construction costs by hundreds of millions. Intel's Chandler campus and scores of chip suppliers form a semiconductor corridor that relies on duty-free movement of ultra-pure materials and precision tools. Separately, Arizona's copper mining industry — the state produces 70% of US copper — faces retaliatory tariffs from China on refined copper exports while benefiting from tariffs that raise prices on imported copper. The agriculture sector, particularly Yuma's winter lettuce and Arizona's Pima cotton, faces retaliatory targeting. Arizona's proximity to Mexico makes the 25% tariff on Mexican goods especially painful: the Nogales port of entry handles $30 billion in annual trade, mostly fresh produce that will simply cost more for American consumers. Raytheon's massive Tucson missile plant depends on allied supply chains now disrupted.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Semiconductors & Electronics", "jobsAtRisk": 22000, "exportValue": 4200000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment/materials" }, { "industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2800000000, "tariffExposure": "10% components" }, { "industry": "Copper Mining", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 1000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-30%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Semiconductors & Chips", "direction": "export", "value": 4200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Missiles & Defense Systems", "direction": "export", "value": 2800000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Copper Ore & Refined", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Fresh Produce (from Mexico)", "direction": "import", "value": 5200000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Semiconductor Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 3100000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["TX", "OR", "NM"], "keyFacts": [ "TSMC's Arizona fabs represent the largest foreign direct investment in US semiconductor history — tariffs on equipment imports add over $500M to construction costs", "Arizona produces 70% of all US-mined copper, making it uniquely sensitive to retaliatory copper tariffs", "The Nogales port of entry handles 60% of Mexican produce imports to the US — expect higher grocery prices nationwide", "Raytheon's Tucson facility produces Tomahawk and Patriot missiles using components from 15+ allied nations" ] }, { "abbr": "AR", "name": "Arkansas", "topExports": ["Poultry", "Rice", "Aerospace"], "exportValueAtRisk": 5100000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 28000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1540, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Rice", "Poultry", "Soybeans"], "impactScore": 55, "analysis": "Arkansas punches above its weight in global agriculture — and pays the price in trade wars. The state is America's top rice producer, growing over 40% of US rice on the Grand Prairie, and rice is a prime retaliation target for Asian trading partners. Tyson Foods, headquartered in Springdale, anchors the state's massive poultry industry that processes 1.3 billion pounds monthly, with significant export exposure to China, Mexico, and the Middle East. Retaliatory tariffs on US poultry have already redirected Chinese buyers to Brazilian competitors. Walmart's Bentonville headquarters coordinates a global supply chain heavily dependent on Chinese imports — tariffs directly increase costs for America's largest retailer and its Arkansas-based logistics network. On the manufacturing side, Dassault Aviation builds Falcon jets in Little Rock, dependent on French-sourced components now subject to duties. Soybeans round out the agricultural vulnerability: Arkansas ranks among the top 10 soybean-producing states, and China's retaliatory soybean tariffs were devastating in earlier trade conflicts.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Poultry Processing", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 1800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-30%" }, { "industry": "Rice Farming & Milling", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-40%" }, { "industry": "Aerospace", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 1100000000, "tariffExposure": "10-15% components" }, { "industry": "Soybeans & Row Crops", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Poultry & Chicken", "direction": "export", "value": 1800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Rice", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 30%" }, { "product": "Business Jets", "direction": "export", "value": 1100000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Consumer Goods (Walmart)", "direction": "import", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Aircraft Components", "direction": "import", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "10%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["MS", "AL", "IA"], "keyFacts": [ "Arkansas produces over 40% of all US rice — retaliatory tariffs threaten the state's oldest export crop", "Tyson Foods processes 1.3 billion pounds of poultry per month from Arkansas facilities", "Walmart's Bentonville HQ manages a supply chain where roughly 26% of merchandise originates from China", "Dassault Aviation's Little Rock completion center finishes every Falcon business jet sold in the Americas" ] }, { "abbr": "CA", "name": "California", "topExports": ["Electronics", "Agriculture", "Machinery"], "exportValueAtRisk": 42000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 320000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 2100, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Almonds", "Wine", "Dairy"], "impactScore": 85, "analysis": "California's $3.6 trillion economy — the world's fifth-largest if it were a country — is deeply entangled in global trade, making it the state with the most to lose from broad tariffs. The Central Valley's agricultural empire is squarely in the crosshairs: California grows 80% of the world's almonds, and China's retaliatory tariffs have already slashed almond exports by 20%. Wine exports to the EU face 25% retaliatory duties. The state's $60B tech hardware sector — Apple, Nvidia, and hundreds of electronics firms — depends on Chinese manufacturing and faces both higher import costs and retaliatory measures on IP-intensive exports. The ports of Los Angeles and Long Beach handle 40% of all US containerized imports; every tariff increase ripples through their docks first, threatening 100,000+ logistics jobs. California's dairy industry, the nation's largest, loses access to Mexican and Chinese markets under retaliation. Even Hollywood is affected — China's informal retaliation includes restricting US film releases. The state's $2,100 per-household burden is the highest in the nation, reflecting both expensive imports and massive export exposure.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Technology & Electronics", "jobsAtRisk": 120000, "exportValue": 18000000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% broad tariffs" }, { "industry": "Agriculture & Food", "jobsAtRisk": 85000, "exportValue": 12000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-30%" }, { "industry": "Port & Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 65000, "exportValue": 5000000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline 15-20%" }, { "industry": "Entertainment & IP", "jobsAtRisk": 30000, "exportValue": 4000000000, "tariffExposure": "Informal retaliation" }, { "industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "jobsAtRisk": 20000, "exportValue": 3000000000, "tariffExposure": "10% components" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Almonds", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25-50%" }, { "product": "Semiconductors & Tech", "direction": "export", "value": 18000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Wine", "direction": "export", "value": 1400000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Consumer Electronics", "direction": "import", "value": 85000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Apparel & Textiles", "direction": "import", "value": 22000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["TX", "WA", "NY"], "keyFacts": [ "LA/Long Beach ports handle 40% of all US containerized imports — they're ground zero for tariff disruption", "California produces 80% of the world's almonds; China's retaliation has already cut that market by 20%", "The state's $2,100 per-household tariff burden is the highest in the nation", "Over 700,000 California jobs are directly tied to trade with China alone", "California wine exports to the EU have dropped 35% since retaliatory tariffs took effect" ] }, { "abbr": "CO", "name": "Colorado", "topExports": ["Beef", "Electronics", "Medical Devices"], "exportValueAtRisk": 7200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 38000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1680, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Beef", "Wheat", "Electronics"], "impactScore": 58, "analysis": "Colorado's diversified economy gives it resilience but no immunity from tariff shocks. The state's premium beef industry — Colorado is a top-5 cattle state — faces retaliatory tariffs from Japan and China that specifically target high-value American beef cuts, threatening ranchers across the Eastern Plains. The Front Range tech corridor from Boulder to Colorado Springs hosts major semiconductor, space, and defense employers (Lockheed Martin's Waterton Canyon, Ball Aerospace, Microchip Technology) dependent on global supply chains for specialized components. Colorado's craft beer industry, the nation's largest per capita, faces rising costs on imported aluminum cans, hops, and specialty ingredients. The outdoor recreation economy — a $62B sector employing 500,000 — sees higher prices on imported gear, bikes, and equipment. Wheat exports from the Eastern Plains face retaliatory measures, while the state's growing renewable energy sector depends on Chinese-made solar panels now subject to steep tariffs. Denver's position as a logistics hub means tariff-driven trade disruption ripples through its warehousing and transportation sectors.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Cattle & Beef", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-38%" }, { "industry": "Aerospace & Defense", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 2500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-15% components" }, { "industry": "Technology & Electronics", "jobsAtRisk": 9000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Agriculture & Wheat", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Beef & Cattle", "direction": "export", "value": 2200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Aerospace Components", "direction": "export", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Wheat", "direction": "export", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Solar Panels", "direction": "import", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "50%" }, { "product": "Aluminum (cans/materials)", "direction": "import", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "10%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["UT", "KS", "MN"], "keyFacts": [ "Colorado's craft beer industry — the largest per capita in the US — faces rising aluminum can costs of 15-20% from tariffs", "Lockheed Martin's Waterton Canyon facility builds satellites and space systems using components from 20+ nations", "Eastern Plains wheat farmers have lost an estimated $120M in export revenue from retaliatory tariffs", "Colorado's $62B outdoor recreation sector sees price increases on nearly every imported product category" ] }, { "abbr": "CT", "name": "Connecticut", "topExports": ["Aerospace", "Machinery", "Pharmaceuticals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 8900000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 45000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1820, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Helicopters", "Engines", "Instruments"], "impactScore": 64, "analysis": "Connecticut's economy is essentially a precision engineering hub — and tariffs threaten every gear in the machine. Pratt & Whitney (RTX) in East Hartford builds jet engines powering half the world's commercial fleet, and retaliatory tariffs from the EU and China directly threaten engine and spare parts exports worth billions. Sikorsky (Lockheed Martin) in Stratford builds Black Hawk helicopters with components sourced from 40+ countries — tariffs on titanium, specialty metals, and avionics increase per-unit costs by an estimated $200,000. The state's submarine construction at Electric Boat (General Dynamics) in Groton depends on specialty steel imports now subject to 25% duties. Connecticut's pharmaceutical corridor — Boehringer Ingelheim in Ridgefield, numerous biotech firms — faces tariffs on imported active pharmaceutical ingredients. The state's high cost of living amplifies consumer tariff impacts: Connecticut households already stretched thin see further pressure on imported goods. The defense sector provides some buffer since military procurement is less trade-sensitive, but commercial aerospace and manufacturing bear the full force.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Jet Engines & Aerospace", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 4200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Helicopters & Defense", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% components" }, { "industry": "Submarines & Shipbuilding", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel" }, { "industry": "Pharmaceuticals", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 1100000000, "tariffExposure": "10% on API imports" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Jet Engines & Parts", "direction": "export", "value": 4200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Helicopters", "direction": "export", "value": 2200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Specialty Steel", "direction": "import", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Titanium & Alloys", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "15-25%" }, { "product": "Pharmaceutical Ingredients", "direction": "import", "value": 900000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["MA", "WA", "KS"], "keyFacts": [ "Pratt & Whitney engines power about 50% of the global commercial aircraft fleet — retaliatory tariffs threaten aftermarket parts revenue", "Each Black Hawk helicopter built in Stratford contains components from 40+ countries, all potentially subject to tariffs", "Electric Boat in Groton is building Columbia-class nuclear submarines — steel tariffs add millions per boat", "Connecticut's insurance industry indirectly suffers as tariff uncertainty raises risk premiums globally" ] }, { "abbr": "DE", "name": "Delaware", "topExports": ["Chemicals", "Pharmaceuticals", "Plastics"], "exportValueAtRisk": 4200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 15000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1700, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Chemicals", "Poultry", "Corn"], "impactScore": 48, "analysis": "Delaware's compact economy belies outsized trade exposure concentrated in chemicals and pharmaceuticals. The state's chemical industry — rooted in DuPont's 200-year legacy and now fragmented into Chemours, Corteva, and IFF — exports specialty chemicals, fluoropolymers, and crop science products worldwide. Tariffs on Chinese chemical imports raise costs for Delaware manufacturers, while retaliatory measures threaten their export markets. The Port of Wilmington, the nation's top banana port, handles massive volumes of imported fruit, juice concentrate, and consumer goods — all now more expensive. Delaware's poultry industry on the Delmarva Peninsula (shared with Maryland and Virginia) faces the same retaliatory targeting as other eastern poultry states. As a corporate domicile state, Delaware also suffers indirectly: tariff uncertainty suppresses the M&A and IPO activity that feeds its franchise tax revenue and legal services economy. The pharmaceutical presence — AstraZeneca's US headquarters in Wilmington — faces tariffs on imported active ingredients while navigating retaliatory threats to drug exports.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Chemicals & Specialty Materials", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Pharmaceuticals", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Poultry (Delmarva)", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 600000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Port & Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 400000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Specialty Chemicals", "direction": "export", "value": 2000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Pharmaceuticals", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Bananas & Fruit", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10-15%" }, { "product": "Chemical Feedstocks", "direction": "import", "value": 1100000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["NJ", "MD", "RI"], "keyFacts": [ "The Port of Wilmington is the #1 banana import port in North America — tariffs raise prices on America's most popular fruit", "DuPont's legacy lives on through Chemours, Corteva, and IFF — all headquartered in Delaware and export-dependent", "Delaware's franchise tax revenue (from corporate registrations) drops when tariff uncertainty chills M&A activity", "The Delmarva poultry region spanning Delaware, Maryland, and Virginia processes 4.6 billion pounds of chicken annually" ] }, { "abbr": "FL", "name": "Florida", "topExports": ["Aerospace", "Citrus", "Medical Devices"], "exportValueAtRisk": 15000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 110000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1850, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Citrus", "Phosphates", "Aircraft Parts"], "impactScore": 72, "analysis": "Florida's trade vulnerability spans from Cape Canaveral to the Everglades. The state's aerospace corridor — SpaceX, Blue Origin, L3Harris, Lockheed Martin — depends on globally-sourced components for rockets, satellites, and defense systems. Retaliatory tariffs from the EU on aircraft parts directly threaten Florida's aerospace exports. The once-dominant citrus industry, already battered by greening disease, now faces retaliatory tariffs from key export markets; Florida orange juice exports to the EU and China are being priced out by Brazilian competitors. PortMiami and Port Everglades serve as America's gateway to Latin America — tariffs on goods transiting these ports disrupt billions in re-export trade. Florida's massive tourism economy takes indirect hits as retaliatory trade tensions reduce international visitor spending. The state's phosphate mining industry (Florida produces 75% of US phosphate) faces tariffs on mining equipment imports while retaliatory measures target fertilizer exports. Medical device manufacturing around the I-4 corridor — Medtronic, Stryker, Zimmer Biomet — imports precision components now subject to duties.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Aerospace & Space", "jobsAtRisk": 35000, "exportValue": 5500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Agriculture & Citrus", "jobsAtRisk": 28000, "exportValue": 3200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-30%" }, { "industry": "Port & Trade Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 25000, "exportValue": 3000000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Medical Devices", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% components" }, { "industry": "Phosphate Mining", "jobsAtRisk": 7000, "exportValue": 1100000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Aircraft & Space Vehicles", "direction": "export", "value": 5500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Citrus & Juice", "direction": "export", "value": 1800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Phosphate Fertilizers", "direction": "export", "value": 1100000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Consumer Electronics", "direction": "import", "value": 8500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Cruise Ship Supplies", "direction": "import", "value": 2200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["TX", "GA", "CA"], "keyFacts": [ "PortMiami is the 'Cruise Capital of the World' — tariffs on imported supplies raise costs for the $8B cruise industry", "Florida produces 75% of US phosphate, a critical fertilizer ingredient now caught in retaliatory crossfire", "SpaceX's Starship program at Cape Canaveral uses stainless steel alloys — steel tariffs add costs to every launch vehicle", "Florida citrus production has fallen 75% since 2000; tariff retaliation accelerates the industry's decline", "The state's $100B+ tourism industry suffers as trade wars reduce international visitor numbers by an estimated 8-12%" ] }, { "abbr": "GA", "name": "Georgia", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Poultry", "Aircraft"], "exportValueAtRisk": 12000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 85000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1720, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Poultry", "Pecans", "Cotton"], "impactScore": 70, "analysis": "Georgia's economy is a microcosm of America's tariff dilemma — a manufacturing powerhouse and agricultural giant simultaneously hurt by higher import costs and retaliatory export losses. The Kia plant in West Point and extensive auto parts suppliers across the state face 25% auto tariffs that disrupt Korean-American supply chains. The Port of Savannah, the fastest-growing container port in the US, handles $130B in annual trade; every tariff increase means higher costs flowing through its cranes. Georgia is the nation's top poultry-producing state, processing 1.4 billion broilers annually — China and Mexico's retaliatory tariffs directly threaten this $20B industry. The state grows 50% of America's pecans, and China was buying 30% of the crop before retaliatory tariffs collapsed that market. Gulfstream in Savannah builds the world's most prestigious business jets, using globally-sourced avionics and engines. Atlanta's role as a logistics hub (Hartsfield-Jackson, Norfolk Southern, UPS) means trade disruption cascades through the state's largest employment sector.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Poultry & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 30000, "exportValue": 4200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-30%" }, { "industry": "Automotive", "jobsAtRisk": 20000, "exportValue": 3000000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Aerospace (Gulfstream)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Port & Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Poultry", "direction": "export", "value": 3500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Business Jets", "direction": "export", "value": 2800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Pecans", "direction": "export", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 47%" }, { "product": "Vehicles (Kia)", "direction": "export", "value": 3000000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Containerized Consumer Goods", "direction": "import", "value": 42000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["SC", "AL", "NC"], "keyFacts": [ "The Port of Savannah is the #3 US container port and the fastest-growing — tariffs slow its record growth", "Georgia produces 50% of US pecans; China's 47% retaliatory tariff devastated growers, cutting Chinese sales by 80%", "Georgia processes 1.4 billion broiler chickens annually — the most of any state", "Gulfstream's Savannah campus is the world's largest business jet facility, employing 10,000+ workers" ] }, { "abbr": "HI", "name": "Hawaii", "topExports": ["Coffee", "Macadamia Nuts", "Refined Petroleum"], "exportValueAtRisk": 800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 5000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 2200, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Coffee", "Tourism Services", "Macadamia"], "impactScore": 42, "analysis": "Hawaii is America's most tariff-vulnerable state in per-household terms — its island isolation means nearly everything consumed is imported, from food to fuel to building materials. The state's $2,200 per-household tariff burden, the highest alongside California, reflects this total import dependency. About 85% of Hawaii's food is shipped in, and tariffs on goods from Asia (where much of it originates) hit Hawaiian families harder than any mainland state. The tourism industry that drives 20% of the state's GDP takes indirect hits: trade war tensions with Japan, South Korea, and China reduce visitor numbers from Hawaii's three most important international markets. Hawaii's small but premium agricultural exports — Kona coffee, macadamia nuts, tropical flowers — face retaliatory tariffs in Asian markets. The military presence (Pearl Harbor, Schofield Barracks) provides economic stability but doesn't shield civilians from consumer price increases. Construction costs soar as tariffs hit imported steel, lumber, and materials critical for the state's housing crisis. Even the renewable energy transition suffers — Hawaii's ambitious 100% clean energy goal depends on imported solar panels subject to steep tariffs.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Tourism & Hospitality", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 200000000, "tariffExposure": "Indirect — visitor decline" }, { "industry": "Specialty Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 1500, "exportValue": 350000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Petroleum Refining", "jobsAtRisk": 800, "exportValue": 180000000, "tariffExposure": "Variable" }, { "industry": "Construction", "jobsAtRisk": 700, "exportValue": 70000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel, 10% aluminum" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Kona Coffee", "direction": "export", "value": 150000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Macadamia Nuts", "direction": "export", "value": 120000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Food & Groceries", "direction": "import", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Building Materials", "direction": "import", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Solar Panels", "direction": "import", "value": 400000000, "tariffRate": "50%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["AK", "VT"], "keyFacts": [ "Hawaii imports approximately 85% of its food — every tariff increase directly hits grocery bills", "The $2,200 per-household tariff burden is among the highest in the nation due to total import dependency", "Japanese, Korean, and Chinese tourists represent Hawaii's top three international visitor markets — trade tensions reduce visits", "Hawaii's 100% clean energy by 2045 goal depends on imported solar panels subject to up to 50% tariffs" ] }, { "abbr": "ID", "name": "Idaho", "topExports": ["Semiconductors", "Potatoes", "Dairy"], "exportValueAtRisk": 3800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 22000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1560, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Potatoes", "Dairy", "Wheat"], "impactScore": 52, "analysis": "Idaho's economy straddles two very different worlds — high-tech semiconductors and high-plains agriculture — and tariffs hit both hard. Micron Technology, headquartered in Boise, is America's only major DRAM memory chip manufacturer, competing head-to-head with Samsung and SK Hynix. Tariffs on semiconductor equipment and materials from Japan and the Netherlands increase Micron's manufacturing costs at a critical moment as it invests $15B in new Idaho fabs. On the agricultural side, Idaho's famous potatoes — the state grows 30% of the US supply — face retaliatory tariffs from Mexico and Japan that threaten processed potato exports (french fries, dehydrated products). Idaho's dairy industry, which has exploded in the Magic Valley, exports cheese and milk powder to Mexico and Southeast Asia, markets now complicated by retaliatory duties. Wheat from the Palouse region faces similar retaliation. The state's growing tech sector in Boise (HP, Clearwater Analytics) depends on global talent and supply chains. Even Idaho's timber industry, selling to Chinese construction markets, has seen demand drop under trade tensions.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Semiconductors (Micron)", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment/materials" }, { "industry": "Potatoes & Food Processing", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 900000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" }, { "industry": "Dairy", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 700000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Wheat & Grains", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Memory Chips (DRAM)", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Processed Potatoes", "direction": "export", "value": 900000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Dairy Products", "direction": "export", "value": 700000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Semiconductor Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Farm Machinery", "direction": "import", "value": 400000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["OR", "UT", "WA"], "keyFacts": [ "Micron Technology is the only US-based DRAM manufacturer — tariffs on fab equipment undermine America's chip independence", "Idaho grows 30% of all US potatoes; french fry exports to Japan and Mexico face retaliatory tariffs of 20%+", "The Magic Valley dairy boom has made Idaho the #3 dairy state — exports to Mexico are now at risk", "Idaho timber exports to China dropped 40% during previous trade war rounds" ] }, { "abbr": "IL", "name": "Illinois", "topExports": ["Machinery", "Chemicals", "Vehicles"], "exportValueAtRisk": 18000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 130000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1900, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Corn", "Pork"], "impactScore": 78, "analysis": "Illinois is where America's manufacturing heartland meets its agricultural breadbasket, and tariffs are squeezing both sides. Caterpillar, John Deere's supply chain, and Abbott Laboratories all depend on Illinois operations that export globally — retaliatory tariffs from China specifically targeted Caterpillar equipment, cutting its Chinese sales. The Chicago area's manufacturing corridor produces everything from candy bars (Mars, Mondelez) to construction equipment to pharmaceuticals, all with globally integrated supply chains. Downstate, Illinois is the #1 soybean-producing state, and China's 25% retaliatory soybean tariff was a body blow that cost Illinois farmers an estimated $1.4 billion in a single year. Corn and pork face similar retaliation. Chicago's role as a transportation and logistics nexus — O'Hare, the nation's rail hub, major interstate interchange — means trade disruption ripples through the state's largest employment sector. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange also suffers from trade uncertainty that increases volatility and reduces agricultural hedging activity. Illinois steel production benefits from import tariffs but faces higher costs for scrap metal and specialty grades.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Heavy Machinery (Caterpillar/Deere)", "jobsAtRisk": 40000, "exportValue": 6500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Soybeans & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 35000, "exportValue": 4500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Chemicals & Pharma", "jobsAtRisk": 25000, "exportValue": 3800000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Food Manufacturing", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Transportation & Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 1000000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Construction Equipment", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Pharmaceuticals", "direction": "export", "value": 3800000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Steel & Metals", "direction": "import", "value": 5200000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts & Vehicles", "direction": "import", "value": 4800000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["OH", "IN", "MI"], "keyFacts": [ "China's retaliatory soybean tariff cost Illinois farmers an estimated $1.4 billion in a single year", "Caterpillar (Deerfield HQ) saw China sales drop 20% during previous tariff escalations", "Illinois is the nation's #1 soybean and #2 corn producer — agriculture is the state's top export sector", "Chicago's O'Hare is the busiest cargo airport in the Americas — trade slowdowns directly impact throughput", "The Chicago Mercantile Exchange handles 80% of US agricultural futures — tariff volatility disrupts price discovery" ] }, { "abbr": "IN", "name": "Indiana", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Pharmaceuticals", "Machinery"], "exportValueAtRisk": 14000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 98000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1680, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Corn", "Pork"], "impactScore": 75, "analysis": "Indiana is America's most manufacturing-intensive state by share of GDP, making it disproportionately exposed to tariff disruption. The state hosts Subaru's only US plant (Lafayette), Toyota's largest US truck factory (Princeton), GM assembly, and Honda operations — the 25% auto tariff on imported parts raises costs across every one of these plants, even though they assemble vehicles domestically. Eli Lilly, headquartered in Indianapolis, is Indiana's largest company and a major pharmaceutical exporter now navigating retaliatory threats on drug exports and tariffs on imported active ingredients. The Cummins engine plant in Columbus exports diesel engines worldwide and faces retaliatory tariffs from China and the EU. Indiana's RV industry — centered in Elkhart, producing 80% of US recreational vehicles — depends on imported steel, aluminum, and components that are all more expensive under tariffs. Agriculture anchors southern and central Indiana: the state is a top-5 soybean and corn producer, both prime retaliation targets. Steel production in Gary and the northwest corner benefits from import tariffs, creating a rare in-state winner-loser divide.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Automotive Assembly & Parts", "jobsAtRisk": 35000, "exportValue": 5200000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Pharmaceuticals (Eli Lilly)", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 3500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Engines & Machinery (Cummins)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 20000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "RV Manufacturing", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel input costs" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Assembled Vehicles", "direction": "export", "value": 5200000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Pharmaceuticals", "direction": "export", "value": 3500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Diesel Engines", "direction": "export", "value": 2800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts", "direction": "import", "value": 6500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Steel & Aluminum", "direction": "import", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "25%/10%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["OH", "MI", "IL"], "keyFacts": [ "Indiana is America's #1 state by manufacturing share of GDP — tariffs hit it harder than almost anywhere", "Elkhart, Indiana produces 80% of all US recreational vehicles — steel and aluminum tariffs add $3,000-$8,000 per RV", "Subaru's Lafayette plant is the company's only US factory, producing 400,000 vehicles annually with global parts", "Eli Lilly's $35B+ annual revenue depends on global markets increasingly complicated by retaliatory tariffs" ] }, { "abbr": "IA", "name": "Iowa", "topExports": ["Corn", "Soybeans", "Pork"], "exportValueAtRisk": 7500000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 52000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1520, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Pork", "Corn"], "impactScore": 72, "analysis": "Iowa is ground zero for retaliatory agricultural tariffs. The state's three biggest exports — corn, soybeans, and pork — are all explicitly targeted by China, Mexico, and the EU in tit-for-tat retaliation. China's 25% soybean tariff alone cost Iowa farmers an estimated $624 million annually as Chinese buyers shifted to Brazilian suppliers, and those trade patterns have proven sticky even when tariffs fluctuate. Iowa's hog industry, the nation's largest, produces 48 million hogs annually; pork exports to China and Mexico — the two largest foreign markets — face tariffs of 25-62%. John Deere's global headquarters sits in nearby Moline (IL) but its manufacturing and supply chain are deeply Iowa-rooted, and retaliatory tariffs on agricultural equipment hurt Iowa's largest employer category. Ethanol, Iowa's value-added corn product, faces trade barriers in China and Brazil that reduce demand for 40% of Iowa's corn crop. The state's wind energy industry — Iowa generates 60% of its electricity from wind — depends on imported turbine components subject to tariffs. Even Iowa's growing data center sector (Meta, Microsoft, Google) faces higher costs for imported servers and networking equipment.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Soybeans", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Pork & Hog Farming", "jobsAtRisk": 14000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-62%" }, { "industry": "Corn & Ethanol", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-45%" }, { "industry": "Farm Equipment", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 2800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Pork", "direction": "export", "value": 2200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25-62%" }, { "product": "Corn & Ethanol", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25-45%" }, { "product": "Wind Turbine Components", "direction": "import", "value": 900000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Farm Machinery Parts", "direction": "import", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["NE", "MN", "IL"], "keyFacts": [ "China's soybean tariff cost Iowa farmers an estimated $624 million per year — Brazilian farmers captured the lost market share", "Iowa produces 48 million hogs annually; pork faces retaliatory tariffs up to 62% from China", "Iowa generates 60% of its electricity from wind — turbine component tariffs slow new installations", "40% of Iowa's corn goes to ethanol production; trade barriers on ethanol exports ripple back to corn prices", "The state has lost an estimated 4,700 farms since the first round of tariffs in 2018" ] }, { "abbr": "KS", "name": "Kansas", "topExports": ["Aircraft", "Beef", "Wheat"], "exportValueAtRisk": 6200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 35000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1550, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Wheat", "Beef", "Sorghum"], "impactScore": 60, "analysis": "Kansas is defined by two industries — aviation and agriculture — and both are under tariff siege. Wichita, the 'Air Capital of the World,' is home to Spirit AeroSystems (Boeing's largest supplier), Textron Aviation (Cessna/Beechcraft), and Bombardier Learjet's legacy operations. Spirit AeroSystems builds fuselages for every Boeing 737 and 787, using globally sourced materials now subject to tariffs — specialty metals, composites, and fasteners from Japan, Europe, and beyond. Retaliatory tariffs from the EU on aircraft directly threaten Kansas's aviation exports. On the farm, Kansas is America's top wheat state, and wheat exports face retaliatory tariffs from multiple trading partners. The state's beef industry — the massive feedlots of southwest Kansas process cattle from across the Plains — sees retaliatory tariffs from Japan (which imposed 38.5% duties on US beef) cut into premium export markets. Sorghum, a Kansas specialty crop, was briefly hit with Chinese anti-dumping duties that devastated growers. The state's relatively low cost of living provides some buffer, but farm communities dependent on exports feel every percentage point of retaliatory tariffs directly.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Aviation Manufacturing", "jobsAtRisk": 14000, "exportValue": 2800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Wheat & Grains", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" }, { "industry": "Beef & Cattle", "jobsAtRisk": 7000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-38.5%" }, { "industry": "Sorghum", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-80%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Aircraft & Parts", "direction": "export", "value": 2800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Wheat", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Beef", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 38.5%" }, { "product": "Specialty Metals & Composites", "direction": "import", "value": 1100000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Aircraft Components", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["NE", "OK", "ND"], "keyFacts": [ "Wichita builds more general aviation aircraft than any city on Earth — the 'Air Capital of the World' title is at stake", "Spirit AeroSystems builds fuselages for every Boeing 737 — steel and aluminum tariffs add costs per aircraft", "Kansas is the #1 wheat-producing state; retaliatory tariffs have closed markets worth $400M+ annually", "Japan's 38.5% retaliatory beef tariff specifically targets the premium cuts that Kansas feedlots specialize in" ] }, { "abbr": "KY", "name": "Kentucky", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Aerospace", "Bourbon"], "exportValueAtRisk": 11000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 72000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1580, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Bourbon", "Tobacco", "Soybeans"], "impactScore": 71, "analysis": "Kentucky faces a uniquely painful tariff cocktail: its two signature industries — bourbon and automobiles — are both prime retaliation targets. The EU's 25% retaliatory tariff on American whiskey was specifically designed to hit Kentucky, which produces 95% of the world's bourbon. Exports to the EU dropped 35% after tariffs took effect, devastating distilleries from Bardstown to Louisville. Toyota's Georgetown plant — the company's largest globally, producing 550,000 Camrys and RAV4s annually — faces 25% tariffs on imported parts from Japan that raise per-vehicle costs by an estimated $2,700. Ford's Louisville Assembly Plant and two truck plants add to the state's massive auto exposure. GE Aviation in Evendale (just across the Ohio border but with deep Kentucky supply chains) and Lexington's aerospace suppliers face retaliatory tariffs on engine exports. Kentucky's tobacco industry, already in decline, sees retaliatory tariffs close remaining Asian markets. The UPS Worldport at Louisville's airport — the company's global air hub sorting 2 million packages nightly — processes goods that are all more expensive under tariff regimes.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Automotive (Toyota/Ford)", "jobsAtRisk": 28000, "exportValue": 4500000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Bourbon & Spirits", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25% (EU)" }, { "industry": "Aerospace", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Tobacco", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Assembled Vehicles", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Bourbon Whiskey", "direction": "export", "value": 2200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Jet Engines & Parts", "direction": "export", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts (Japan)", "direction": "import", "value": 5000000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Aluminum (for bourbon barrels & auto)", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["TN", "IN", "OH"], "keyFacts": [ "Kentucky produces 95% of the world's bourbon — the EU's retaliatory tariff was deliberately aimed at the state", "Toyota's Georgetown plant is the company's largest factory worldwide, producing 550,000 vehicles per year", "Bourbon exports to the EU dropped 35% after the 25% retaliatory tariff took effect", "UPS Worldport in Louisville sorts 2 million packages per night — tariff-affected goods flow through every single one" ] }, { "abbr": "LA", "name": "Louisiana", "topExports": ["Petroleum", "Chemicals", "Soybeans"], "exportValueAtRisk": 16000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 88000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1600, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Rice", "Petroleum Products"], "impactScore": 74, "analysis": "Louisiana's economy is built on what flows through it — oil, chemicals, grain, and container ships — making it a chokepoint for tariff impacts that reverberate nationally. The Port of South Louisiana and Port of New Orleans together form the largest port complex in the Western Hemisphere by tonnage, handling 500 million tons annually. Soybeans, corn, and wheat from the entire Mississippi River basin funnel through Louisiana's grain elevators for export — retaliatory tariffs on these crops directly reduce volumes through the state's ports. Louisiana's petrochemical corridor along the Mississippi between Baton Rouge and New Orleans — 'Cancer Alley' — is the densest concentration of chemical plants in the Western Hemisphere, exporting refined products, plastics, and LNG globally. Tariffs on imported specialty chemicals disrupt feedstocks, while retaliatory measures threaten export markets. The state's massive LNG export capacity (Sabine Pass, Cameron) depends on Asian and European buyers who may reduce purchases amid trade tensions. Louisiana's seafood industry — Gulf shrimp, crawfish, oysters — faces cheap imports from tariff-exempt countries while its own exports face retaliation.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Petrochemicals & Refining", "jobsAtRisk": 30000, "exportValue": 6500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% on feedstocks" }, { "industry": "Port & Grain Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 25000, "exportValue": 4000000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline 15-20%" }, { "industry": "LNG Exports", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 3200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory risk" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Soybeans/Rice)", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-30%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Petroleum & Refined Products", "direction": "export", "value": 6500000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "LNG", "direction": "export", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory risk" }, { "product": "Soybeans (transshipment)", "direction": "export", "value": 2000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Crude Oil", "direction": "import", "value": 8500000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Chemical Feedstocks", "direction": "import", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["TX", "MS", "AL"], "keyFacts": [ "Louisiana's ports handle 500 million tons annually — the largest port complex in the Western Hemisphere", "60% of all US grain exports pass through Louisiana's Mississippi River terminals", "The Baton Rouge-New Orleans petrochemical corridor has the highest density of chemical plants in the Western Hemisphere", "Sabine Pass LNG terminal is the largest LNG export facility in North America — trade tensions threaten Asian buyer commitments" ] }, { "abbr": "ME", "name": "Maine", "topExports": ["Lobster", "Paper", "Blueberries"], "exportValueAtRisk": 2100000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 12000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1650, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Lobster", "Blueberries", "Paper"], "impactScore": 50, "analysis": "Maine's lobster industry tells one of the most dramatic tariff stories in America. The state's 4,500 licensed lobstermen once shipped 15% of their catch to China, where Maine lobster was a luxury status symbol. China's retaliatory tariffs — which hit 35% — rerouted Chinese buyers to Canadian lobster (which faces no such duties), devastating Maine's most iconic industry. Canadian lobstermen across the border in New Brunswick suddenly had a massive competitive advantage over their American neighbors fishing the same waters. Beyond lobster, Maine's paper and pulp industry — once the state's economic backbone — faces tariffs on imported chemicals and competition from Canadian mills with better trade access. Wild blueberry farmers in Washington County, who grow 99% of US wild blueberries, face retaliatory tariffs in Asian markets. Bath Iron Works builds Navy destroyers using steel subject to 25% tariffs, increasing per-ship costs by millions. Maine's geographic position — sharing a 611-mile border with Canada — makes cross-border trade disruption particularly painful for communities that live and work on both sides.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Lobster & Seafood", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 35%" }, { "industry": "Paper & Forestry", "jobsAtRisk": 3500, "exportValue": 600000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% chemicals" }, { "industry": "Shipbuilding (BIW)", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 400000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel" }, { "industry": "Blueberries & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 1500, "exportValue": 200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-20%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Live Lobster", "direction": "export", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 35%" }, { "product": "Paper & Pulp", "direction": "export", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Wild Blueberries", "direction": "export", "value": 200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Steel (for shipbuilding)", "direction": "import", "value": 400000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Heating Oil", "direction": "import", "value": 900000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" } ], "comparisonStates": ["AK", "NH", "VT"], "keyFacts": [ "China's 35% retaliatory tariff shifted Chinese lobster buyers to Canada — Maine lost $140M in annual sales", "Canadian lobstermen fish the same waters as Maine lobstermen but face zero Chinese tariffs — a devastating competitive gap", "Bath Iron Works builds Arleigh Burke-class destroyers — steel tariffs add an estimated $4-6M per ship", "Maine grows 99% of US wild blueberries — retaliatory tariffs threaten the $250M industry" ] }, { "abbr": "MD", "name": "Maryland", "topExports": ["Aerospace", "Vehicles", "Chemicals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 5800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 32000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1780, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Poultry", "Tobacco"], "impactScore": 54, "analysis": "Maryland's tariff exposure is uniquely shaped by its dual identity as a federal government hub and a mid-Atlantic manufacturing/agricultural state. The defense and intelligence sector centered around Fort Meade, NSA, and Aberdeen Proving Ground provides economic stability, but Maryland's private sector is where tariffs bite. The Port of Baltimore — which handled a record 52 million tons before the Key Bridge collapse disruption — is the nation's top auto import port, and 25% auto tariffs directly threaten the 15,000 port-related jobs processing BMWs, Mercedes, and Subarus. Northrop Grumman's surveillance aircraft and Lockheed Martin's rotary systems in Maryland depend on global components. The state's Eastern Shore agriculture — poultry (the Delmarva region), soybeans, and corn — faces the same retaliatory targeting as neighboring states. Maryland's biotech corridor along I-270 near Bethesda, anchored by NIH proximity, imports laboratory equipment and pharmaceutical ingredients subject to tariffs. The state's proximity to DC means many residents work in trade policy — they study tariff impacts by day and live them by night.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Defense & Aerospace", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "10% components" }, { "industry": "Port of Baltimore (Auto Imports)", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Poultry & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 7000, "exportValue": 1100000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Biotech & Pharma", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Defense Systems", "direction": "export", "value": 2200000000, "tariffRate": "10% components" }, { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Imported Vehicles (BMW, etc.)", "direction": "import", "value": 5800000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Lab Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["VA", "DE", "PA"], "keyFacts": [ "The Port of Baltimore is the #1 US port for auto imports — 25% auto tariffs directly threaten its core business", "Maryland's Delmarva Eastern Shore shares the nation's largest poultry region with Delaware and Virginia", "The I-270 biotech corridor near Bethesda hosts 500+ biotech firms dependent on imported lab supplies", "Maryland residents face a paradox: many work on tariff policy at federal agencies while personally bearing tariff costs" ] }, { "abbr": "MA", "name": "Massachusetts", "topExports": ["Machinery", "Medical Devices", "Pharmaceuticals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 12000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 75000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1950, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Lobster", "Cranberries", "Electronics"], "impactScore": 66, "analysis": "Massachusetts punches well above its weight in high-value exports that are precisely the kind targeted by retaliatory tariffs. The state's biotech and pharmaceutical cluster — Moderna, Biogen, Vertex, hundreds of startups in Kendall Square — exports cutting-edge therapies globally while importing specialized equipment, reagents, and active pharmaceutical ingredients subject to tariffs. GE Aerospace (formerly GE Aviation's parent) moved its headquarters to Boston, and Massachusetts hosts critical aerospace R&D and manufacturing. Raytheon's (RTX) Waltham headquarters coordinates missile and radar systems using components from allied nations. The state's medical device corridor — Boston Scientific, Hologic, and scores of smaller firms — faces both higher input costs and retaliatory targeting of device exports. On the traditional side, Massachusetts lobster fishermen face the same Chinese retaliatory tariffs devastating Maine. The state's cranberry bogs (producing 25% of US cranberries) see retaliatory tariffs in Asian markets. MIT and Harvard-affiliated startups depend on global talent and IP flows disrupted by trade tensions. The Port of Boston handles consumer goods now more expensive across the board.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Biotech & Pharmaceuticals", "jobsAtRisk": 25000, "exportValue": 4500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Medical Devices", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 3200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-25%" }, { "industry": "Defense & Aerospace (RTX)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-15% components" }, { "industry": "Seafood & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 900000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-35%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Pharmaceuticals & Biotech", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Medical Devices", "direction": "export", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Defense Electronics", "direction": "export", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Lab Equipment & Reagents", "direction": "import", "value": 2800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "LNG (for heating)", "direction": "import", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" } ], "comparisonStates": ["CT", "NJ", "MN"], "keyFacts": [ "Kendall Square in Cambridge has the highest density of biotech firms on Earth — tariffs on imported reagents raise R&D costs for all of them", "Massachusetts' $4.5B pharmaceutical export sector faces retaliatory tariffs from China, the world's second-largest drug market", "The state produces 25% of US cranberries — retaliatory tariffs in Asia threaten this traditional crop", "Raytheon (RTX) in Waltham builds Patriot missile systems using components from 15+ allied nations" ] }, { "abbr": "MI", "name": "Michigan", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Auto Parts", "Machinery"], "exportValueAtRisk": 22000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 180000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1850, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Vehicles", "Cherries", "Auto Parts"], "impactScore": 88, "analysis": "Michigan is the epicenter of America's auto tariff crisis. The 25% tariff on imported vehicles and parts doesn't just affect foreign cars — it fundamentally disrupts the integrated North American auto industry that Michigan built and still leads. A single vehicle crosses the US-Canada border up to eight times during production; parts shuttle between Detroit and Windsor, Ontario literally hourly across the Ambassador Bridge and through the new Gordie Howe International Bridge. GM, Ford, and Stellantis all have Michigan headquarters and factories that depend on Canadian and Mexican plants for components — every tariff essentially taxes Michigan's own supply chain. The state's 1,800+ auto suppliers face devastating margin compression as they absorb tariff costs or lose contracts. Beyond autos, Michigan's tart cherry industry — producing 75% of US tart cherries in the Traverse City region — faces retaliatory tariffs from the EU and Turkey. The state's furniture industry in West Michigan competes with Chinese imports that are now tariffed, but this modest benefit is dwarfed by the auto sector's pain. Michigan fought for decades to rebuild after the 2008 auto crisis; broad tariffs threaten to undo that recovery.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Vehicle Assembly (GM/Ford/Stellantis)", "jobsAtRisk": 80000, "exportValue": 12000000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Auto Parts & Suppliers", "jobsAtRisk": 60000, "exportValue": 6500000000, "tariffExposure": "25% parts tariff" }, { "industry": "Machinery & Industrial Equipment", "jobsAtRisk": 20000, "exportValue": 2500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Cherries/Dairy)", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Assembled Vehicles", "direction": "export", "value": 12000000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts & Components", "direction": "export", "value": 6500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Tart Cherries", "direction": "export", "value": 400000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts (Canada/Mexico)", "direction": "import", "value": 18000000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Steel & Aluminum", "direction": "import", "value": 4200000000, "tariffRate": "25%/10%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["OH", "IN", "ON"], "keyFacts": [ "A single auto part crosses the US-Canada border up to 8 times during production — each crossing now incurs 25% tariffs", "Michigan's 1,800+ auto suppliers employ more people than the Big Three automakers combined", "The Ambassador Bridge carries 25% of all US-Canada trade — tariffs turn it from an asset into a toll booth", "Michigan produces 75% of US tart cherries; EU retaliatory tariffs threaten the Traverse City region's economy", "The 25% auto tariff adds an estimated $4,000-$12,000 to the cost of every vehicle built in Michigan" ] }, { "abbr": "MN", "name": "Minnesota", "topExports": ["Medical Devices", "Machinery", "Soybeans"], "exportValueAtRisk": 9800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 62000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1720, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Pork", "Corn"], "impactScore": 65, "analysis": "Minnesota's economy is a study in contrasts: Fortune 500 headquarters concentrated in the Twin Cities alongside vast agricultural expanses to the south and west. The state is the undisputed capital of medical devices — Medtronic, 3M's healthcare division, Boston Scientific's cardiac unit, and Abbott's diagnostics all have major Minnesota operations. Tariffs on imported components (precision sensors from Germany, rare earth magnets from China) raise device manufacturing costs, while retaliatory tariffs threaten export markets worth billions. 3M, headquartered in Maplewood, manufactures thousands of products dependent on global supply chains and faces both import cost increases and export retaliation. Minnesota's agricultural sector mirrors Iowa's pain: top-10 in soybeans, corn, and pork production, all facing retaliatory tariffs. The iron ore mines of the Iron Range benefit from steel tariffs that boost domestic steel prices, creating a rare in-state divide between mining communities that gain and manufacturing/farming communities that lose. Target Corporation, headquartered in Minneapolis, imports massive volumes of consumer goods from China — tariffs raise prices across 1,900+ stores nationwide.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Medical Devices (Medtronic/3M)", "jobsAtRisk": 22000, "exportValue": 3800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Industrial Manufacturing (3M)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Soybeans & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 14000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Pork & Livestock", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-62%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Medical Devices", "direction": "export", "value": 3800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Industrial Products (3M)", "direction": "export", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 2000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Precision Components", "direction": "import", "value": 1800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Consumer Goods (Target)", "direction": "import", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["IA", "WI", "IL"], "keyFacts": [ "Minnesota is home to more medical device companies per capita than any other state — tariffs hit the entire cluster", "The Iron Range benefits from steel tariffs while the rest of the state pays higher costs — creating an in-state divide", "Target Corporation imports billions in Chinese goods through Minneapolis — tariffs raise prices at 1,900+ stores", "3M produces 60,000+ products in Minnesota using materials sourced from 70+ countries" ] }, { "abbr": "MS", "name": "Mississippi", "topExports": ["Petroleum", "Poultry", "Cotton"], "exportValueAtRisk": 4500000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 25000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1480, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Cotton", "Poultry", "Soybeans"], "impactScore": 53, "analysis": "Mississippi's low-income households bear a disproportionate tariff burden relative to their earnings, making the state's modest $1,480 per-household figure more painful than it appears. The state's petroleum refining corridor along the Gulf Coast processes crude into exportable products, but tariffs on imported equipment and chemical inputs raise operating costs. Mississippi's poultry industry — the state is a top-5 broiler producer — faces the same Chinese and Mexican retaliatory tariffs hitting other southeastern poultry states. Cotton, Mississippi's historical crop, remains an important export now targeted by retaliatory measures; the Delta region's cotton farmers compete with Brazilian and Indian growers who face no such penalties. Ingalls Shipbuilding in Pascagoula — one of only two yards building Navy surface combatants — depends on steel (25% tariff) and specialized alloys for destroyers and amphibious ships. The Nissan plant in Canton brought thousands of manufacturing jobs but now faces 25% auto tariffs on imported components. Mississippi's catfish industry, once dominant, already lost market share to cheaper Vietnamese imports — tariffs on those imports provide one of the state's few tariff 'wins.'", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Petroleum Refining", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1800000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% on inputs" }, { "industry": "Poultry Processing", "jobsAtRisk": 7000, "exportValue": 1000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Shipbuilding (Ingalls)", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel" }, { "industry": "Cotton & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 700000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Refined Petroleum", "direction": "export", "value": 1800000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Poultry", "direction": "export", "value": 1000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Cotton", "direction": "export", "value": 700000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Steel (for shipbuilding)", "direction": "import", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts (Nissan)", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["AL", "AR", "LA"], "keyFacts": [ "Ingalls Shipbuilding in Pascagoula builds every US Navy destroyer and amphibious ship — steel tariffs add millions per vessel", "Mississippi's median household income is the nation's lowest, making the $1,480 tariff burden proportionally among the heaviest", "The Nissan Canton plant produces 350,000 vehicles annually with globally-sourced components now subject to 25% tariffs", "Mississippi catfish farmers are rare tariff 'winners' — duties on Vietnamese catfish imports protect the domestic industry" ] }, { "abbr": "MO", "name": "Missouri", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Chemicals", "Soybeans"], "exportValueAtRisk": 7800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 48000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1620, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Pork", "Corn"], "impactScore": 61, "analysis": "Missouri sits at America's geographic and economic crossroads, blending Midwestern agriculture with significant manufacturing. The GM Wentzville plant and Ford Claycomo plant produce trucks and vans dependent on cross-border supply chains — 25% auto tariffs raise per-vehicle costs significantly. Monsanto's legacy (now Bayer Crop Science) in St. Louis makes Missouri a hub for agricultural biotechnology, exporting seed technology and crop chemicals now facing retaliatory measures worldwide. The state's soybean and corn farmers share the pain felt across the Midwest from Chinese retaliatory tariffs. Missouri's pork industry, centered in the northern part of the state, faces retaliatory tariffs from China and Mexico that close two of its largest export markets. Anheuser-Busch's St. Louis brewery imports specialty ingredients and aluminum cans at higher tariff-inflated prices. The state's aerospace sector — Boeing Defense in St. Louis builds F-15 and F/A-18 fighters — depends on allied-nation components. Kansas City's logistics position as a rail and trucking hub means trade disruption echoes through its warehousing economy. Bass Pro Shops, headquartered in Springfield, imports fishing and outdoor gear subject to broad tariffs.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Automotive (GM/Ford)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2800000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Soy/Corn/Pork)", "jobsAtRisk": 14000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Aerospace & Defense (Boeing)", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-15% components" }, { "industry": "Chemicals & Ag Biotech", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 1000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Trucks & Vans", "direction": "export", "value": 2800000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Military Aircraft", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts", "direction": "import", "value": 2000000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Aluminum Cans & Materials", "direction": "import", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "10%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["KS", "IL", "IN"], "keyFacts": [ "Boeing's St. Louis campus builds F-15 and F/A-18 fighter jets using components from 40+ allied nations", "Bayer Crop Science (formerly Monsanto) HQ in St. Louis faces retaliatory tariffs on seed technology exports", "Missouri farmers lost an estimated $340M annually from China's retaliatory soybean tariffs", "Anheuser-Busch's St. Louis brewery is the world's largest — aluminum tariffs increase costs on 100M+ cans daily" ] }, { "abbr": "MT", "name": "Montana", "topExports": ["Wheat", "Cattle", "Machinery"], "exportValueAtRisk": 1800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 10000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1500, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Wheat", "Cattle", "Lentils"], "impactScore": 44, "analysis": "Montana's vast, sparsely populated landscape produces agricultural exports — wheat, cattle, lentils, and barley — that punch well above the state's small population in trade significance. Montana is a top-5 wheat state, and its hard red spring wheat is prized for bread flour worldwide; retaliatory tariffs from Asian markets reduce prices received by Montana grain farmers across millions of acres. The state's cattle ranchers, who graze herds on 60 million acres of rangeland, face retaliatory tariffs from Japan and China on premium beef cuts. Montana has become America's #1 organic lentil producer, and specialty pulse crops face retaliatory tariffs in India and other markets. The state's mining sector — copper, gold, platinum, palladium from the Stillwater Mine (the only US palladium source) — benefits from some tariffs on competing imports but faces higher costs on mining equipment. Montana's 545-mile border with Canada makes cross-border trade disruption personal: many Montana communities depend on Canadian customers and cross-border commerce. Oil production in the Bakken formation (eastern Montana) adds to exports but faces less direct tariff exposure.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Wheat & Grains", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 700000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" }, { "industry": "Cattle Ranching", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-38%" }, { "industry": "Mining (Palladium/Copper)", "jobsAtRisk": 1500, "exportValue": 350000000, "tariffExposure": "Mixed — benefits/costs" }, { "industry": "Pulse Crops (Lentils)", "jobsAtRisk": 1200, "exportValue": 200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 30-60%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Hard Red Spring Wheat", "direction": "export", "value": 700000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Cattle & Beef", "direction": "export", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 38%" }, { "product": "Lentils & Pulses", "direction": "export", "value": 200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 30-60%" }, { "product": "Mining Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 300000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Farm Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 250000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["ND", "SD", "WY"], "keyFacts": [ "The Stillwater Mine is the only US source of palladium and platinum — critical metals for catalytic converters", "Montana's 60 million acres of rangeland support cattle that face Japan's 38.5% retaliatory beef tariff", "Montana is America's top organic lentil producer — India's retaliatory tariffs of up to 60% devastated this niche crop", "Montana shares a 545-mile border with Canada; cross-border trade disruption affects communities on both sides" ] }, { "abbr": "NE", "name": "Nebraska", "topExports": ["Beef", "Corn", "Soybeans"], "exportValueAtRisk": 5500000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 35000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1510, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Beef", "Corn", "Soybeans"], "impactScore": 63, "analysis": "Nebraska is America's beef buckle — the state processes more red meat than any other, and retaliatory tariffs threaten the industry that defines its economy. The massive meatpacking plants in Lexington, Grand Island, and Omaha (operated by Tyson, JBS, Cargill, and Greater Omaha Packing) process cattle from across the Great Plains for export. Japan's 38.5% retaliatory tariff on US beef and China's 25% tariff directly target Nebraska's premium product. Corn and soybeans round out the agricultural triple threat — Nebraska is a top-5 producer of both, and China's retaliatory tariffs have been devastating. The state's ethanol industry (Nebraska is the #2 ethanol producer) faces trade barriers that reduce demand for 40% of its corn crop. Beyond agriculture, Offutt Air Force Base near Omaha hosts US Strategic Command, providing economic stability but no tariff shield for the private sector. Berkshire Hathaway's Omaha headquarters coordinates a global portfolio affected by trade uncertainty across dozens of subsidiaries. Union Pacific Railroad, also headquartered in Omaha, hauls the agricultural goods and consumer products that tariffs make more expensive.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Beef & Meatpacking", "jobsAtRisk": 14000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-38.5%" }, { "industry": "Corn & Ethanol", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-45%" }, { "industry": "Soybeans", "jobsAtRisk": 7000, "exportValue": 1100000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Transportation (Union Pacific)", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Beef & Processed Meat", "direction": "export", "value": 2200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25-38.5%" }, { "product": "Corn", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 1100000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Farm Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Meatpacking Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 300000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["KS", "IA", "SD"], "keyFacts": [ "Nebraska processes more red meat than any other state — it's the nation's beef processing capital", "Japan's 38.5% retaliatory beef tariff specifically targets the premium export cuts Nebraska specializes in", "Nebraska is the #2 ethanol producer — trade barriers on ethanol ripple back to corn prices statewide", "Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway in Omaha owns dozens of trade-sensitive companies affected by tariffs" ] }, { "abbr": "NV", "name": "Nevada", "topExports": ["Gold", "Machinery", "Electronics"], "exportValueAtRisk": 3200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 18000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1780, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Gold", "Mining Equipment", "Dairy"], "impactScore": 46, "analysis": "Nevada's tariff story is written in gold, lithium, and tourism. The state produces 72% of US gold — the Carlin Trend and Battle Mountain corridor are among the world's richest gold deposits — and while gold itself faces limited tariffs, the mining equipment and chemicals needed to extract it are now more expensive. Nevada's emerging lithium industry, centered on Thacker Pass (the largest known lithium deposit in North America), is critical to America's EV battery ambitions but depends on imported processing equipment and chemicals subject to tariffs. Tesla's Gigafactory near Reno imports battery cells and components from Asia, with tariffs raising costs on every vehicle and Powerwall produced. Las Vegas's $67B tourism economy takes indirect hits as trade war tensions reduce international visitor spending — Chinese and Japanese tourists are among the highest per-visit spenders. The state's data center boom (Switch, Google, Apple in northern Nevada) requires imported servers and networking equipment at tariff-inflated prices. Nevada's relatively small agricultural sector and manufacturing base limit direct export exposure, but the state's consumption-heavy economy means residents feel import tariffs acutely.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Gold Mining", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% on equipment" }, { "industry": "Tourism & Hospitality", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Indirect — visitor decline" }, { "industry": "EV/Battery (Tesla Gigafactory)", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 600000000, "tariffExposure": "25% on battery imports" }, { "industry": "Lithium & Critical Minerals", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 400000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Gold", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Minimal direct" }, { "product": "Machinery", "direction": "export", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Battery Cells (Tesla)", "direction": "import", "value": 2200000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Mining Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Servers & Data Center Hardware", "direction": "import", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["UT", "AZ", "NM"], "keyFacts": [ "Nevada produces 72% of all US gold — mining input tariffs add costs to every ounce extracted", "Tesla's Gigafactory near Reno is the world's largest battery factory — tariffs on imported cells raise EV costs", "Thacker Pass lithium mine could supply 25% of current global lithium demand but needs tariff-free processing equipment", "Las Vegas's $67B tourism economy loses an estimated $1.2B when trade tensions reduce Asian visitor numbers by 10%" ] }, { "abbr": "NH", "name": "New Hampshire", "topExports": ["Electronics", "Machinery", "Medical Devices"], "exportValueAtRisk": 2800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 16000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1720, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Electronics", "Maple Syrup", "Dairy"], "impactScore": 47, "analysis": "New Hampshire's compact economy punches above its weight in precision manufacturing and defense technology. BAE Systems' Nashua campus is the state's largest private employer, building electronic warfare systems and intelligence platforms using globally-sourced components now subject to tariffs. The state's precision machining sector — dozens of small shops across the Merrimack Valley — produces high-tolerance parts for aerospace, medical devices, and semiconductors, all dependent on imported specialty metals and alloys at higher tariff-inflated prices. New Hampshire's lack of income tax and sales tax provides some consumer buffer, but imported goods still cost more. The state's maple syrup industry (second only to Vermont in New England) and dairy farms face retaliatory tariffs in niche markets. Cross-border commerce with Quebec — tourism, timber, and manufactured goods — is disrupted by broader North American trade tensions. New Hampshire's growing tech sector, concentrated along the I-93 corridor south of Manchester, imports computing equipment and components subject to tariffs. The Portsmouth Naval Shipyard (technically in Kittery, Maine but serving NH) overhauls submarines using tariff-affected steel and alloys.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Defense Electronics (BAE)", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 1100000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% components" }, { "industry": "Precision Manufacturing", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% specialty metals" }, { "industry": "Medical Devices", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Technology", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 400000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Electronic Warfare Systems", "direction": "export", "value": 1100000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Precision Machine Parts", "direction": "export", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Medical Devices", "direction": "export", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Specialty Metals & Alloys", "direction": "import", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Computing Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["VT", "ME", "RI"], "keyFacts": [ "BAE Systems' Nashua campus is New Hampshire's largest private employer — building defense systems with globally-sourced parts", "New Hampshire has no income or sales tax, but tariff-driven price increases erode that consumer advantage", "The state's precision machining shops produce parts for F-35 fighter jets and surgical robots — both need tariff-free specialty metals", "Cross-border commerce with Quebec represents $2B+ annually in tourism and trade now disrupted by tariff tensions" ] }, { "abbr": "NJ", "name": "New Jersey", "topExports": ["Pharmaceuticals", "Chemicals", "Machinery"], "exportValueAtRisk": 11000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 68000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1980, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Pharmaceuticals", "Chemicals", "Cranberries"], "impactScore": 67, "analysis": "New Jersey is America's pharmaceutical heartland, and tariffs threaten an industry that defines the state's economy. Johnson & Johnson (New Brunswick), Merck (Rahway), Bristol-Myers Squibb, Novo Nordisk, and dozens more pharma giants maintain New Jersey headquarters and manufacturing. These companies export finished drugs worldwide — now facing retaliatory tariffs — while importing active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) from China and India at higher costs. Nearly 80% of APIs used in US drug manufacturing come from overseas, and tariffs on these inputs raise costs across the entire pharmaceutical supply chain. New Jersey's Port Newark-Elizabeth, part of the Port of NY/NJ complex, is the largest East Coast container port; tariffs on everything flowing through its terminals raise prices for 80 million consumers in the region. The state's chemical industry along the New Jersey Turnpike corridor (BASF, Dow) faces tariffs on imported feedstocks. New Jersey's cranberry bogs (third-largest producer in the US) face retaliatory tariffs in Asian markets. The state's high cost of living amplifies the $1,980 per-household tariff burden considerably.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Pharmaceuticals (J&J/Merck)", "jobsAtRisk": 25000, "exportValue": 4500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Chemicals", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Port & Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline" }, { "industry": "Food Processing", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% ingredients" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Pharmaceuticals", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Specialty Chemicals", "direction": "export", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Active Pharma Ingredients", "direction": "import", "value": 5800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Containerized Consumer Goods", "direction": "import", "value": 32000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Crude Oil (refineries)", "direction": "import", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" } ], "comparisonStates": ["CT", "PA", "DE"], "keyFacts": [ "New Jersey hosts more pharmaceutical company headquarters than any other state — tariffs on API imports raise drug costs nationally", "Port Newark-Elizabeth is the largest East Coast container port — tariffs affect prices for 80M regional consumers", "80% of active pharmaceutical ingredients come from overseas; tariffs on these inputs threaten US drug supply security", "New Jersey's $1,980 per-household tariff burden ranks among the highest in the nation" ] }, { "abbr": "NM", "name": "New Mexico", "topExports": ["Electronics", "Dairy", "Pecans"], "exportValueAtRisk": 2400000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 14000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1540, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Pecans", "Dairy", "Chile Peppers"], "impactScore": 46, "analysis": "New Mexico's tariff exposure is concentrated in two unlikely sectors: cutting-edge technology and traditional agriculture. The state's national laboratories — Los Alamos and Sandia — drive a defense technology ecosystem largely insulated from tariffs, but the commercial tech sector around Albuquerque (Intel's Rio Rancho fab, Raytheon, and numerous defense contractors) depends on imported materials and equipment subject to tariffs. Intel's New Mexico operations produce older-node chips using equipment and materials sourced globally. New Mexico is America's #2 pecan-producing state (after Georgia), and China was the largest buyer of US pecans before retaliatory tariffs — as high as 47% — devastated the market. The state's dairy industry in the Pecos Valley has grown rapidly, with exports to Mexico now threatened by trade tensions. New Mexico's iconic chile pepper industry, while small in dollar terms, faces both import competition (cheaper Chinese chiles) and retaliatory barriers. The state's oil production in the Permian Basin (southeastern NM) has boomed, providing some economic diversification, but tariffs on drilling equipment and steel pipe raise extraction costs. Virgin Galactic's Spaceport America adds aerospace flair but minimal trade exposure.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Electronics & Semiconductors", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 1000000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment" }, { "industry": "Pecans", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 47%" }, { "industry": "Dairy", "jobsAtRisk": 2500, "exportValue": 450000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Oil & Gas", "jobsAtRisk": 2500, "exportValue": 400000000, "tariffExposure": "25% on steel pipe" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Semiconductors", "direction": "export", "value": 1000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Pecans", "direction": "export", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 47%" }, { "product": "Dairy Products", "direction": "export", "value": 450000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Oil Field Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Consumer Goods (from Mexico)", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["AZ", "NV", "OK"], "keyFacts": [ "New Mexico is the #2 pecan state — China's 47% retaliatory tariff devastated growers in the Mesilla Valley", "Intel's Rio Rancho fab is one of the company's oldest US plants — tariffs on equipment complicate upgrade plans", "New Mexico's chile pepper industry faces a two-front war: cheap Chinese imports and retaliatory export barriers", "The state's Permian Basin oil boom has added $1B+ in annual revenue but tariffs on steel pipe raise drilling costs 15-20%" ] }, { "abbr": "NY", "name": "New York", "topExports": ["Diamonds", "Machinery", "Pharmaceuticals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 18000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 125000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 2050, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Apples", "Dairy", "Wine"], "impactScore": 73, "analysis": "New York's tariff exposure spans from Wall Street to the apple orchards of the Hudson Valley. The state's diamond district in Manhattan — the largest in the Western Hemisphere — processes and re-exports billions in gems, and tariffs on rough diamond imports from non-exempt countries disrupt this century-old trade. New York's financial sector suffers indirectly but profoundly: trade uncertainty suppresses IPOs, M&A activity, and global investment flows that are Wall Street's lifeblood. The Port of New York/New Jersey (shared with NJ) is the East Coast's largest, and tariffs on containerized imports raise costs for the entire metropolitan area's 20 million residents. Upstate New York's manufacturing — GE turbines in Schenectady, Corning glass, Xerox, and scores of smaller firms — depends on global supply chains disrupted by tariffs. New York's agricultural sector is diverse but vulnerable: Hudson Valley apples face Chinese retaliatory tariffs, Long Island wine faces EU retaliation, and upstate dairy exports to Mexico encounter tariff barriers. The state's fashion industry — centered in the Garment District — imports fabrics and finished goods from China, Vietnam, and Bangladesh at higher costs. New York's $2,050 per-household burden reflects both its import dependency and high cost of living.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Financial Services", "jobsAtRisk": 35000, "exportValue": 5000000000, "tariffExposure": "Indirect — trade uncertainty" }, { "industry": "Manufacturing (GE/Corning)", "jobsAtRisk": 30000, "exportValue": 4500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Port & Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 28000, "exportValue": 3500000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline" }, { "industry": "Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Fashion & Apparel", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% on imports" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Diamonds & Precious Stones", "direction": "export", "value": 5000000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Industrial Machinery", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Pharmaceuticals", "direction": "export", "value": 3000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Apparel & Fashion", "direction": "import", "value": 15000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Consumer Electronics", "direction": "import", "value": 12000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["CA", "NJ", "IL"], "keyFacts": [ "New York's diamond district processes $24B+ in annual diamond trade — tariffs disrupt the world's largest gem market", "Wall Street estimates tariff-driven trade uncertainty reduces US IPO activity by 15-20%", "Hudson Valley apple exports to China have dropped 60% since retaliatory tariffs took effect", "The Port of NY/NJ handles $200B+ in annual trade — every tariff increase ripples through the region", "New York's Garment District imports 97% of the fabric used in domestic fashion production" ] }, { "abbr": "NC", "name": "North Carolina", "topExports": ["Pharmaceuticals", "Tobacco", "Vehicles"], "exportValueAtRisk": 11000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 78000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1680, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Tobacco", "Pork", "Soybeans"], "impactScore": 69, "analysis": "North Carolina's economy has transformed from tobacco and textiles to biotech and banking, but tariffs threaten both the old and new. The Research Triangle's pharmaceutical cluster — Novo Nordisk's $11B Clayton expansion, Merck, Pfizer, and 700+ life science firms — exports globally while importing APIs and equipment subject to tariffs. Tobacco, once the state's defining crop, still generates significant export revenue and is a prime retaliation target for Asian nations. The state's hog industry (NC is #2 nationally behind Iowa) faces crippling retaliatory tariffs from China and Mexico on pork exports. BMW-adjacent auto suppliers and a Volvo Trucks plant in the Triad depend on global parts now tariffed at 25%. Charlotte's banking giants — Bank of America and Truist — face indirect impacts as trade uncertainty reduces lending and investment activity. North Carolina's furniture industry in High Point, which once lost thousands of jobs to Chinese imports, sees some relief from tariffs on Chinese furniture but faces higher costs on imported hardware and materials. The state's sweet potato industry (NC grows 60% of US sweet potatoes) faces retaliatory tariffs in European markets.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Pharmaceuticals & Biotech", "jobsAtRisk": 25000, "exportValue": 4000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Pork & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 20000, "exportValue": 2500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-62%" }, { "industry": "Automotive & Trucks", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Tobacco", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Pharmaceuticals", "direction": "export", "value": 4000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Pork", "direction": "export", "value": 1800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25-62%" }, { "product": "Tobacco Products", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Pharmaceutical Ingredients", "direction": "import", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts", "direction": "import", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["SC", "VA", "GA"], "keyFacts": [ "Novo Nordisk is investing $11B in a Clayton, NC manufacturing campus — the largest pharma investment in state history", "North Carolina is the #2 hog-producing state; retaliatory tariffs from China reach up to 62% on pork", "NC grows 60% of US sweet potatoes — EU retaliatory tariffs threaten this growing export crop", "The Research Triangle hosts 700+ life science companies dependent on globally-sourced ingredients and equipment" ] }, { "abbr": "ND", "name": "North Dakota", "topExports": ["Wheat", "Soybeans", "Oil"], "exportValueAtRisk": 3200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 18000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1460, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Wheat", "Soybeans", "Lentils"], "impactScore": 56, "analysis": "North Dakota's economy is a tale of two industries — Bakken oil and Great Plains agriculture — and tariffs pressure both differently. The state's agricultural sector is among the most export-dependent in the nation: North Dakota is the #1 producer of durum wheat, spring wheat, sunflowers, dry edible beans, flax, and canola. Retaliatory tariffs from virtually every trading partner target these crops, with particularly devastating effects on wheat exports to Asia and lentil/pulse exports to India (which imposed tariffs of 30-60%). The Bakken oil formation has made North Dakota a top-3 oil-producing state, and while oil exports face limited direct tariffs, the industry depends on imported steel pipe (25% tariff) and equipment that raises drilling costs. The state's tiny population (780,000) means farm revenue losses are felt intensely per capita. Cross-border trade with Canada is critical — Manitoba and Saskatchewan are major trading partners for both agricultural goods and energy. North Dakota's emerging drone industry (Grand Forks UAS corridor) is a rare bright spot but depends on imported components.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Wheat & Grains", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" }, { "industry": "Soybeans & Pulses", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 900000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-60%" }, { "industry": "Oil & Gas (Bakken)", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "25% on steel pipe" }, { "industry": "Sunflowers & Specialty Crops", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 300000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-20%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Durum & Spring Wheat", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 900000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Crude Oil", "direction": "export", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Steel Pipe (drilling)", "direction": "import", "value": 400000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Farm Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 350000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["SD", "MT", "MN"], "keyFacts": [ "North Dakota is the #1 US producer of durum wheat, spring wheat, sunflowers, dry beans, flax, and canola", "India's retaliatory tariffs of 30-60% on lentils and pulses devastated North Dakota's specialty crop farmers", "The Bakken formation makes ND a top-3 oil state — steel pipe tariffs add 15-20% to drilling costs", "North Dakota's 780,000 population means farm revenue losses are felt more intensely per capita than any other ag state" ] }, { "abbr": "OH", "name": "Ohio", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Machinery", "Aerospace"], "exportValueAtRisk": 16000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 120000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1750, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Vehicles", "Pork"], "impactScore": 76, "analysis": "Ohio is the quintessential Rust Belt state reborn through advanced manufacturing — and tariffs threaten that hard-won transformation. The Honda plants in Marysville and East Liberty, GM's Lordstown corridor, and the massive auto parts supplier network centered in northwest Ohio all face 25% auto tariffs on imported components. Ohio has more auto supplier plants than any state except Michigan. GE Aviation's Cincinnati campus (just across the border but deeply Ohio-integrated) and the Wright-Patterson Air Force Base R&D ecosystem depend on globally-sourced aerospace components. Ohio is a top-10 steel-producing state, so steel tariffs create a complex divide: Nucor and Cleveland-Cliffs benefit, but the far larger auto and machinery sectors pay more for steel inputs. Soybeans from Ohio's western farmlands face the same Chinese retaliatory tariffs devastating the entire Midwest. Procter & Gamble, headquartered in Cincinnati, imports ingredients and materials from 80+ countries for consumer products sold worldwide — tariffs raise costs on everything from Tide to Pampers. Ohio's rubber industry in Akron (Goodyear's headquarters) faces tariffs on imported rubber and retaliatory measures on tire exports.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Automotive & Parts", "jobsAtRisk": 45000, "exportValue": 6500000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Aerospace (GE Aviation)", "jobsAtRisk": 25000, "exportValue": 3500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Soybeans)", "jobsAtRisk": 20000, "exportValue": 2500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Consumer Products (P&G)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% inputs" }, { "industry": "Steel Production", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Benefits from 25% tariff" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Vehicles & Auto Parts", "direction": "export", "value": 6500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Jet Engines", "direction": "export", "value": 3500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts (imported)", "direction": "import", "value": 8500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Raw Materials (rubber/chemicals)", "direction": "import", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["MI", "IN", "PA"], "keyFacts": [ "Ohio has more auto supplier plants than any state except Michigan — the 25% parts tariff ripples through thousands of factories", "Cleveland-Cliffs and Nucor benefit from steel tariffs while Ohio auto plants pay more — a sharp in-state divide", "P&G imports from 80+ countries to make products in Ohio — tariffs raise costs on America's household staples", "GE Aviation's Cincinnati-area campus designs engines powering 70% of the world's wide-body aircraft", "Goodyear's Akron HQ faces tariffs on imported natural rubber — 70% of rubber in US tires comes from Southeast Asia" ] }, { "abbr": "OK", "name": "Oklahoma", "topExports": ["Oil & Gas", "Machinery", "Vehicles"], "exportValueAtRisk": 5000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 28000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1540, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Wheat", "Beef", "Oil"], "impactScore": 52, "analysis": "Oklahoma's economy rides on energy and agriculture, both caught in tariff crosscurrents. The state's oil and gas industry — centered in Oklahoma City and Tulsa — faces tariffs on imported steel pipe, drill bits, and specialized equipment that raise extraction costs by an estimated 15-20%. Oklahoma is a major producer of oil field equipment (Baker Hughes, Helmerich & Payne), and while domestic demand benefits from tariffs on competing imports, export markets for this equipment face retaliatory barriers. The state's aerospace sector is surprisingly large: Tinker Air Force Base maintains military aircraft, and American Airlines' massive Tulsa maintenance base is the world's largest commercial aircraft MRO facility, importing parts from worldwide suppliers. Oklahoma wheat, from the state's western plains, faces retaliatory tariffs. The state's cattle industry, spread across 5 million acres of rangeland, sees retaliatory tariffs on beef exports. Oklahoma's tire manufacturing (Bridgestone in Oklahoma City, Michelin in Ardmore) faces higher rubber import costs. The state benefits somewhat from the energy independence narrative that drives tariff policy, but the math of higher equipment costs and retaliatory agricultural losses doesn't add up for most Oklahoma workers.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Oil & Gas", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "25% on steel pipe/equipment" }, { "industry": "Aerospace & MRO", "jobsAtRisk": 7000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% parts" }, { "industry": "Wheat & Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "industry": "Cattle & Beef", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 700000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-38%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Oil & Natural Gas", "direction": "export", "value": 2000000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Oil Field Equipment", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10-25%" }, { "product": "Wheat", "direction": "export", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Steel Pipe & Tubing", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Natural Rubber (tires)", "direction": "import", "value": 400000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["KS", "TX", "ND"], "keyFacts": [ "American Airlines' Tulsa MRO base is the world's largest, maintaining 800+ aircraft with globally-sourced parts", "Oklahoma's oil field equipment industry benefits from some tariff protections but loses export markets to retaliation", "Steel pipe tariffs add 15-20% to oil drilling costs in Oklahoma's major basins", "Oklahoma wheat production spans 4 million acres — retaliatory tariffs threaten the state's second-largest crop" ] }, { "abbr": "OR", "name": "Oregon", "topExports": ["Electronics", "Machinery", "Wheat"], "exportValueAtRisk": 8500000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 52000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1760, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Wheat", "Hazelnuts", "Cherries"], "impactScore": 64, "analysis": "Oregon's economy is anchored by Intel's massive Hillsboro campus — the company's largest global manufacturing site — and a diverse agricultural sector that feeds the world. Intel's $36B expansion in Oregon depends on specialized equipment from the Netherlands (ASML) and Japan (Tokyo Electron) now subject to tariffs, adding hundreds of millions to construction costs just as the US pushes for chip independence. The broader Silicon Forest corridor (Synopsys, Mentor Graphics, Lam Research) faces similar input cost increases. Oregon's Willamette Valley is one of the most diverse agricultural regions in the US, producing hazelnuts (99% of US production), grass seed, berries, wine grapes, and Christmas trees — many of these niche crops face retaliatory tariffs. Columbia River wheat exports to Asia, shipped through Portland's grain terminals, face retaliatory barriers. Nike, headquartered in Beaverton, designs in Oregon but manufactures in Vietnam, China, and Indonesia — tariffs on imported footwear directly raise prices on Nike products. Oregon's timber industry, heavily dependent on Asian lumber markets, has seen demand drop under trade tensions. The Port of Portland has lost container service entirely, a casualty partly attributed to trade disruption.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Semiconductors (Intel)", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 3500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Hazelnuts/Wheat)", "jobsAtRisk": 14000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Sportswear & Apparel (Nike)", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% on imports" }, { "industry": "Timber & Forestry", "jobsAtRisk": 7000, "exportValue": 1000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Semiconductors", "direction": "export", "value": 3500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Wheat", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Hazelnuts", "direction": "export", "value": 400000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Athletic Footwear (Nike)", "direction": "import", "value": 5000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Semiconductor Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["WA", "ID", "CA"], "keyFacts": [ "Intel's Hillsboro campus is the company's largest global manufacturing site — tariffs on ASML equipment add hundreds of millions to fab costs", "Oregon grows 99% of US hazelnuts — retaliatory tariffs in Asian markets threaten this unique crop", "Nike HQ is in Beaverton but 100% of shoes are manufactured overseas — tariffs raise retail prices on every pair", "The Port of Portland lost all container shipping service — partly due to trade disruption making the route uneconomical" ] }, { "abbr": "PA", "name": "Pennsylvania", "topExports": ["Chemicals", "Machinery", "Pharmaceuticals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 14000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 95000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1800, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Mushrooms", "Chemicals"], "impactScore": 71, "analysis": "Pennsylvania's diverse industrial economy creates tariff exposure from the steel mills of Pittsburgh to the pharmaceutical labs of the Philadelphia suburbs. US Steel's historic Mon Valley Works and Cleveland-Cliffs' operations benefit from 25% steel tariffs, but these gains come at the expense of far larger downstream industries — auto parts, machinery, and construction — that pay more for steel inputs. Philadelphia's pharmaceutical corridor (GSK, AstraZeneca legacy operations, Merck facilities, numerous biotechs) imports APIs and exports finished drugs in a globally integrated supply chain now disrupted at both ends. The state's chemical industry along the Delaware River faces tariffs on imported feedstocks while retaliatory measures threaten specialty chemical exports. Pennsylvania is America's #1 mushroom producer (60% of US production in Chester County) and mushrooms face retaliatory tariffs. The state's diverse agriculture — dairy, soybeans, hay — faces retaliation across multiple product categories. Natural gas from the Marcellus Shale has made Pennsylvania a top energy producer, and while LNG exports face less direct tariff threat, equipment tariffs raise extraction costs. Hershey and other food manufacturers face higher costs on imported cocoa, sugar, and ingredients.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Pharmaceuticals & Biotech", "jobsAtRisk": 28000, "exportValue": 4500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Chemicals", "jobsAtRisk": 22000, "exportValue": 3500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Machinery & Industrial", "jobsAtRisk": 20000, "exportValue": 3000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Steel (benefits)", "jobsAtRisk": -5000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "Benefits from 25% tariff" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Mushrooms/Dairy)", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Pharmaceuticals", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Specialty Chemicals", "direction": "export", "value": 3500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Industrial Machinery", "direction": "export", "value": 3000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Pharmaceutical Ingredients", "direction": "import", "value": 3800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Steel (benefits domestic)", "direction": "import", "value": 2800000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["OH", "NJ", "NY"], "keyFacts": [ "Pennsylvania produces 60% of US mushrooms — Chester County is the 'Mushroom Capital of the World'", "US Steel's Mon Valley Works benefits from steel tariffs, but downstream PA manufacturers pay more — a bitter in-state trade-off", "The Marcellus Shale has made PA the #2 natural gas state — equipment tariffs raise extraction costs by 10-15%", "Hershey, PA faces higher costs on imported cocoa, sugar, and packaging — America's chocolate is getting more expensive" ] }, { "abbr": "RI", "name": "Rhode Island", "topExports": ["Jewelry", "Machinery", "Electronics"], "exportValueAtRisk": 1500000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 9000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1750, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Jewelry", "Fish", "Electronics"], "impactScore": 43, "analysis": "Rhode Island's economy is defined by its legacy jewelry and silverware industry and its evolving defense-tech sector. Providence has been America's costume jewelry capital since the 1700s, and while the industry has shrunk dramatically, the remaining firms import gold, silver, and gemstones subject to tariffs while competing with cheap Chinese imports that tariffs also make more expensive. General Dynamics' Electric Boat division has a major presence in Quonset Point, building sections of Virginia-class and Columbia-class submarines using steel and specialty alloys subject to 25% tariffs. Raytheon's missile systems division in Rhode Island produces naval weapons systems with globally-sourced components. The state's commercial fishing industry — squid, lobster, scallops — faces competition from tariff-exempt countries while its exports face retaliatory barriers. Rhode Island's small size amplifies tariff impacts: the state's concentrated economy means a few thousand job losses represent a significant percentage of total employment. Brown University and URI drive a growing innovation economy, but startups dependent on imported technology face higher costs. The Port of Providence handles bulk materials (salt, petroleum, scrap) with tariff implications, though on a smaller scale than neighboring ports.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Submarine & Defense (Electric Boat)", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel/alloys" }, { "industry": "Jewelry Manufacturing", "jobsAtRisk": 2500, "exportValue": 400000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% on metals/gems" }, { "industry": "Naval Weapons (Raytheon)", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 350000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% components" }, { "industry": "Fishing & Seafood", "jobsAtRisk": 1000, "exportValue": 200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Submarine Sections", "direction": "export", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "25% on steel inputs" }, { "product": "Jewelry & Silverware", "direction": "export", "value": 400000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Naval Weapons Systems", "direction": "export", "value": 350000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Precious Metals & Gems", "direction": "import", "value": 300000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Specialty Steel (subs)", "direction": "import", "value": 250000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["CT", "NH", "DE"], "keyFacts": [ "Providence has been America's costume jewelry capital since the 1700s — the remaining industry faces tariffs on every raw material", "Electric Boat's Quonset Point facility builds key sections of nuclear submarines — steel tariffs add millions per hull", "Rhode Island's small economy means even modest tariff-driven job losses represent a disproportionate share of total employment", "The state's squid fishing fleet is the largest on the East Coast — retaliatory tariffs threaten export markets" ] }, { "abbr": "SC", "name": "South Carolina", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Tires", "Aerospace"], "exportValueAtRisk": 12000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 82000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1640, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Vehicles", "Tires", "Cotton"], "impactScore": 74, "analysis": "South Carolina has reinvented itself as a manufacturing powerhouse for foreign automakers — and that very success makes it uniquely vulnerable to tariffs. BMW's Spartanburg plant is the company's largest factory worldwide, producing 411,000 X-model SUVs annually, with 70% exported. The 25% auto tariff on imported parts raises BMW's per-vehicle costs while retaliatory tariffs from China and the EU threaten the export market that justifies the plant's existence. Volvo's Berkeley County plant and Mercedes-Benz Vans' North Charleston facility add to the auto exposure. Michelin's North American headquarters in Greenville and Bridgestone's massive tire plants face tariffs on imported natural rubber (primarily from Southeast Asia) that raise costs on every tire produced. Boeing's North Charleston campus assembles 787 Dreamliners — one of America's top single export products — using a global supply chain where components from Japan, Italy, and the UK are now subject to tariffs. The Port of Charleston, the state's economic engine, handles $80B in annual trade that tariffs make more expensive. South Carolina's cotton and peach industries face retaliatory targeting.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Automotive (BMW/Volvo)", "jobsAtRisk": 30000, "exportValue": 5000000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Aerospace (Boeing 787)", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 3200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Tires (Michelin/Bridgestone)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% rubber imports" }, { "industry": "Port & Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 12000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "BMW SUVs", "direction": "export", "value": 5000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Boeing 787 Dreamliners", "direction": "export", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 10%" }, { "product": "Tires", "direction": "export", "value": 2000000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts (BMW)", "direction": "import", "value": 6500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Natural Rubber", "direction": "import", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["AL", "GA", "TN"], "keyFacts": [ "BMW's Spartanburg plant is BMW's largest factory globally — 70% of vehicles produced are exported, making it America's #1 auto exporter by value", "Boeing's North Charleston facility assembles 787 Dreamliners using components from 40+ countries", "Michelin's North American HQ in Greenville faces tariffs on the natural rubber used in every tire produced", "The Port of Charleston handles $80B in annual trade — tariffs slow the growth that's made it the 9th-largest US port" ] }, { "abbr": "SD", "name": "South Dakota", "topExports": ["Soybeans", "Beef", "Corn"], "exportValueAtRisk": 2200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 12000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1470, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Soybeans", "Beef", "Corn"], "impactScore": 50, "analysis": "South Dakota's agricultural economy is almost entirely exposed to retaliatory tariffs, with its three biggest exports — soybeans, beef, and corn — all prime targets. China's 25% soybean tariff hit South Dakota farmers particularly hard: the state's soybean acreage makes it heavily dependent on export markets, and land values dropped 10-15% in soybean-heavy counties. The state's beef industry, centered on feedlots in the western half and the massive Smithfield and Tyson plants in Sioux Falls, faces retaliatory tariffs from Japan and China on premium cuts. South Dakota's ethanol plants, which consume 40%+ of the corn crop, face trade barriers that suppress demand. Beyond agriculture, South Dakota has limited manufacturing exposure, but the state's credit card processing industry (Citibank, Capital One operations in Sioux Falls, enabled by favorable banking laws) is indirectly affected by consumer spending slowdowns from tariff-driven price increases. Ellsworth Air Force Base provides stable employment unaffected by tariffs. The state's small population means agricultural losses are devastatingly concentrated — entire communities depend on commodity prices that retaliatory tariffs depress.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Soybeans", "jobsAtRisk": 4500, "exportValue": 900000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Beef & Cattle", "jobsAtRisk": 3500, "exportValue": 600000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-38%" }, { "industry": "Corn & Ethanol", "jobsAtRisk": 2500, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-45%" }, { "industry": "Financial Services", "jobsAtRisk": 1500, "exportValue": 200000000, "tariffExposure": "Indirect — spending decline" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 900000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Beef", "direction": "export", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 38%" }, { "product": "Corn & Ethanol", "direction": "export", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Farm Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 300000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Consumer Goods", "direction": "import", "value": 200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["ND", "NE", "MT"], "keyFacts": [ "Soybean-heavy South Dakota counties saw land values drop 10-15% after China's retaliatory tariff took effect", "South Dakota's population is just 900,000 — agricultural trade losses hit harder per capita than almost any state", "Sioux Falls' credit card processing industry (Citibank, Capital One) is indirectly hurt by tariff-driven consumer spending declines", "South Dakota has no income tax, but tariff-driven price increases effectively act as a hidden consumption tax" ] }, { "abbr": "TN", "name": "Tennessee", "topExports": ["Vehicles", "Medical Devices", "Chemicals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 11000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 75000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1660, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Whiskey", "Cotton", "Soybeans"], "impactScore": 70, "analysis": "Tennessee's economy mirrors the broader American tariff dilemma: a booming auto sector dependent on global supply chains and an iconic spirits industry directly targeted by retaliatory tariffs. Nissan's Smyrna plant (the largest auto assembly plant in North America), GM's Spring Hill facility, and Volkswagen's Chattanooga plant all face 25% tariffs on imported components from Japan, Mexico, and Germany. Tennessee's auto suppliers — 900+ firms employing 130,000+ — feel every tariff increase on their margins. The state's Tennessee whiskey industry (Jack Daniel's, George Dickel) is in the EU's retaliatory crosshairs: the 25% EU tariff on American whiskey was specifically designed to hurt Tennessee and Kentucky, and Jack Daniel's EU sales dropped 20%. FedEx, headquartered in Memphis, sees tariff-driven trade volume declines ripple through its global logistics network — Memphis serves as its worldwide superhub sorting 3.5 million packages daily. Tennessee's music industry in Nashville generates billions in IP that trade tensions can complicate. The state's cotton and soybean farmers face retaliatory tariffs, and healthcare company HCA (Nashville) faces higher costs on imported medical equipment.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Automotive (Nissan/VW/GM)", "jobsAtRisk": 30000, "exportValue": 4500000000, "tariffExposure": "25% auto tariff" }, { "industry": "Whiskey & Spirits", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25% (EU)" }, { "industry": "Logistics (FedEx)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2000000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline 10-15%" }, { "industry": "Medical Devices & Healthcare", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment" }, { "industry": "Agriculture", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Vehicles (Nissan/VW)", "direction": "export", "value": 4500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Tennessee Whiskey", "direction": "export", "value": 1800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Medical Devices", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts", "direction": "import", "value": 5500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Electronics (FedEx hub)", "direction": "import", "value": 3000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["KY", "AL", "SC"], "keyFacts": [ "Nissan's Smyrna plant is the largest auto assembly plant in North America — 640,000 vehicles per year with global parts", "The EU's 25% retaliatory tariff on American whiskey specifically targets Jack Daniel's — TN whiskey EU sales dropped 20%", "FedEx's Memphis superhub sorts 3.5 million packages daily — tariff-driven trade declines reduce volume", "Tennessee has 900+ auto supplier firms employing 130,000+ workers — the 25% parts tariff threatens the entire network" ] }, { "abbr": "TX", "name": "Texas", "topExports": ["Petroleum", "Electronics", "Chemicals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 52000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 380000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1920, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Cotton", "Petroleum", "Beef"], "impactScore": 90, "analysis": "Texas is America's export champion — shipping more goods abroad than any other state — and that distinction makes it the most tariff-exposed economy in the nation. The state's energy complex (Permian Basin oil, Gulf Coast refineries, Freeport LNG) faces tariffs on imported steel pipe, drilling equipment, and specialty chemicals that raise extraction and processing costs across the board. The Texas-Mexico border handles 35% of all US-Mexico trade: the Laredo crossing alone processes $280 billion annually, and 25% tariffs on Mexican goods create massive disruption for maquiladora supply chains that have integrated the border economy over decades. Texas Instruments, Dell, Samsung's Austin fab, and the broader tech corridor face tariffs on imported components and retaliatory barriers on semiconductor exports. Texas is the #1 cotton state, and China's retaliatory tariffs on cotton devastate West Texas growers. The state's beef industry — the nation's largest — faces Japanese and Chinese retaliatory tariffs on premium exports. Houston's petrochemical corridor imports $30B in crude and chemical feedstocks annually at tariff-inflated prices. SpaceX's Boca Chica facility faces steel tariffs on Starship construction. Texas's sheer scale means it accounts for roughly 20% of total US tariff impact by dollar value.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Energy (Oil/Gas/LNG)", "jobsAtRisk": 120000, "exportValue": 18000000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel pipe + equipment" }, { "industry": "Cross-Border Manufacturing", "jobsAtRisk": 90000, "exportValue": 12000000000, "tariffExposure": "25% Mexico tariff" }, { "industry": "Technology (TI/Dell/Samsung)", "jobsAtRisk": 65000, "exportValue": 10000000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25%" }, { "industry": "Chemicals & Petrochemicals", "jobsAtRisk": 55000, "exportValue": 8000000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% feedstocks" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Cotton/Beef)", "jobsAtRisk": 40000, "exportValue": 4000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Petroleum & LNG", "direction": "export", "value": 18000000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Electronics & Semiconductors", "direction": "export", "value": 10000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Chemicals", "direction": "export", "value": 8000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Crude Oil (imports)", "direction": "import", "value": 25000000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Mexican Manufactured Goods", "direction": "import", "value": 95000000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["CA", "LA", "IL"], "keyFacts": [ "Texas exports more goods than any other state — roughly $375B annually, making it the most tariff-exposed economy", "The Laredo border crossing handles $280B in annual US-Mexico trade — 25% tariffs disrupt this massive flow", "Texas accounts for roughly 20% of total US tariff impact by dollar value", "Samsung's Austin fab produces advanced chips — tariffs on equipment undermine semiconductor reshoring goals", "West Texas cotton farmers face China's retaliatory tariffs on the state's #1 agricultural export" ] }, { "abbr": "UT", "name": "Utah", "topExports": ["Gold", "Electronics", "Medical Devices"], "exportValueAtRisk": 5200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 30000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1650, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Gold", "Beef", "Cherries"], "impactScore": 54, "analysis": "Utah's booming economy — the fastest-growing state for much of the past decade — faces tariff headwinds just as its tech and manufacturing sectors accelerate. The 'Silicon Slopes' tech corridor from Salt Lake City to Provo hosts hundreds of software and hardware companies that import servers, components, and manufacturing equipment. Goldman Sachs' Salt Lake City campus and other financial operations face indirect impacts from trade uncertainty. Utah's mining industry produces gold, copper, and critical minerals at Kennecott (Rio Tinto), and while mineral tariffs create mixed effects, mining equipment imports are more expensive. L3Harris and Northrop Grumman have significant Utah defense operations dependent on global supply chains. The state's agricultural sector is modest but noteworthy: Utah's tart cherry orchards face retaliatory tariffs, and its beef cattle operations in the western deserts compete in export markets threatened by retaliation. Utah's outdoor recreation industry — centered on ski resorts and national parks — sees higher prices on imported equipment and gear. The state's strong population growth means housing construction depends on imported materials (steel, lumber, hardware) at tariff-inflated prices, worsening affordability challenges.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Technology (Silicon Slopes)", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 1800000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment" }, { "industry": "Mining (Kennecott/Gold)", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 1400000000, "tariffExposure": "Mixed — equipment costs" }, { "industry": "Defense (L3Harris/Northrop)", "jobsAtRisk": 7000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "10% components" }, { "industry": "Medical Devices", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 600000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-15%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Gold & Precious Metals", "direction": "export", "value": 1400000000, "tariffRate": "Minimal direct" }, { "product": "Technology Products", "direction": "export", "value": 1800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Defense Systems", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "10%" }, { "product": "Servers & IT Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Building Materials", "direction": "import", "value": 1000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["CO", "NV", "ID"], "keyFacts": [ "Utah's 'Silicon Slopes' hosts 8,000+ tech companies — imported servers and equipment face tariff increases of 10-25%", "Kennecott copper mine near Salt Lake City is the largest man-made excavation on Earth — equipment tariffs raise extraction costs", "Utah's rapid population growth means housing construction absorbs tariff-inflated steel and lumber costs, worsening affordability", "The state's $12B outdoor recreation economy faces price increases on nearly every imported product category" ] }, { "abbr": "VT", "name": "Vermont", "topExports": ["Electronics", "Dairy", "Maple Syrup"], "exportValueAtRisk": 1200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 7000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1680, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Maple Syrup", "Dairy", "Electronics"], "impactScore": 40, "analysis": "Vermont's small, specialized economy faces outsized tariff impacts relative to its tiny population. GlobalFoundries' Essex Junction fab — the state's largest private employer and manufacturer — produces semiconductors for defense and automotive applications using imported materials and equipment subject to tariffs; the fab's viability as a standalone operation becomes harder when input costs rise. Vermont is the #1 maple syrup producer in the US (47% of national production), and retaliatory tariffs on this iconic product in Asian and European markets threaten the $200M+ industry that defines the state's brand. Vermont's dairy farms, which give the state its pastoral character, are already struggling with low milk prices; tariffs on dairy equipment and retaliatory barriers on cheese and milk powder exports add pressure. The state's craft beer and specialty food industries (Ben & Jerry's, Cabot Creamery) import ingredients subject to tariffs while exporting products to markets with retaliatory barriers. Vermont's proximity to Quebec creates cross-border trade dependencies now disrupted by broader North American tensions. The state's green energy sector depends on imported solar panels and wind components subject to steep tariffs.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Semiconductors (GlobalFoundries)", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% equipment" }, { "industry": "Maple Syrup", "jobsAtRisk": 1500, "exportValue": 200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Dairy", "jobsAtRisk": 1200, "exportValue": 250000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Specialty Food (Ben & Jerry's)", "jobsAtRisk": 800, "exportValue": 150000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 10-20%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Semiconductors", "direction": "export", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Maple Syrup", "direction": "export", "value": 200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Dairy & Cheese", "direction": "export", "value": 250000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Solar Panels", "direction": "import", "value": 200000000, "tariffRate": "50%" }, { "product": "Semiconductor Materials", "direction": "import", "value": 300000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["NH", "ME", "HI"], "keyFacts": [ "GlobalFoundries' Essex Junction fab is Vermont's largest employer — tariffs on equipment threaten the state's biggest private-sector job source", "Vermont produces 47% of all US maple syrup — retaliatory tariffs on this iconic product threaten the $200M+ industry", "Ben & Jerry's (Unilever) exports ice cream from Vermont to 35+ countries — retaliatory barriers complicate global sales", "Vermont's 700 remaining dairy farms are already struggling — tariffs on equipment and retaliatory export barriers accelerate closures" ] }, { "abbr": "VA", "name": "Virginia", "topExports": ["Tobacco", "Soybeans", "Machinery"], "exportValueAtRisk": 8200000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 52000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1760, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Tobacco", "Soybeans", "Poultry"], "impactScore": 62, "analysis": "Virginia's economy straddles two worlds: the federal government/defense complex in Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads, and the agricultural/manufacturing economy of the rest of the state. The Pentagon and intelligence agencies provide economic stability, but Virginia's massive private defense sector — Huntington Ingalls' Newport News Shipbuilding (the only yard that builds nuclear aircraft carriers), General Dynamics IT, Leidos, SAIC — imports specialty steel and components subject to tariffs. Newport News Shipbuilding alone needs 47,000 tons of steel per aircraft carrier; at 25% tariffs, that's tens of millions in additional costs per ship. Virginia's agricultural sector is more diverse than many realize: the state is a significant tobacco exporter (retaliatory target), soybean grower, and poultry producer (the Shenandoah Valley's poultry industry is massive). The Port of Virginia in Norfolk is one of the East Coast's largest and deepest, handling $90B in annual trade; tariffs affect every container. Amazon's HQ2 in Arlington is less directly exposed but represents the tech economy that depends on imported hardware. Virginia's wine industry in the Piedmont faces EU retaliatory tariffs, and the state's coal industry in Appalachia competes in export markets complicated by trade barriers.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Defense & Shipbuilding (HII)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 3000000000, "tariffExposure": "25% steel" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Tobacco/Soybeans/Poultry)", "jobsAtRisk": 15000, "exportValue": 2200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" }, { "industry": "Port of Virginia", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline" }, { "industry": "Technology (Northern VA)", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% hardware" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Tobacco", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Soybeans", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Defense Systems", "direction": "export", "value": 3000000000, "tariffRate": "25% on steel inputs" }, { "product": "Specialty Steel (carriers)", "direction": "import", "value": 2000000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Consumer Goods (Port)", "direction": "import", "value": 15000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["MD", "NC", "GA"], "keyFacts": [ "Newport News Shipbuilding is the only facility that builds nuclear aircraft carriers — each needs 47,000 tons of tariffed steel", "The Port of Virginia handled $90B in trade last year — every tariff increase flows through Norfolk's terminals", "Virginia's Shenandoah Valley poultry industry processes over 1 billion pounds annually for export markets", "Amazon's HQ2 in Arlington is less directly exposed to tariffs but represents tech's dependence on imported hardware" ] }, { "abbr": "WA", "name": "Washington", "topExports": ["Aircraft", "Software", "Wheat"], "exportValueAtRisk": 28000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 200000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1880, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Apples", "Wheat", "Cherries"], "impactScore": 86, "analysis": "Washington state's economy is dominated by two titans — Boeing and Microsoft — and both face significant tariff headwinds. Boeing's Everett and Renton factories produce 737 MAX and 787 aircraft using components from 40+ countries; the EU's long-running retaliatory tariffs on US aircraft (from the Airbus-Boeing WTO dispute) directly reduce orders for Washington's single largest export product. The 25% tariff on imported titanium, carbon fiber, and avionics raises per-aircraft costs by an estimated $1.5M. Microsoft, Amazon, and the Puget Sound tech corridor face tariffs on imported servers, networking equipment, and consumer electronics that raise costs across their operations. Washington's agricultural sector is surprisingly massive and export-dependent: the state is the #1 apple producer (facing Chinese retaliatory tariffs that cut apple exports by 70%), a top cherry exporter (retaliatory tariffs in China and Turkey), and a major wheat exporter via Columbia River terminals. The Port of Seattle/Tacoma, the Pacific Northwest's gateway, handles $75B in trade primarily with Asia — tariffs on Chinese goods directly impact throughput. Washington's craft beer, wine, and seafood industries all face retaliatory barriers in key markets.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Aerospace (Boeing)", "jobsAtRisk": 80000, "exportValue": 15000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15% + input costs" }, { "industry": "Technology (Microsoft/Amazon)", "jobsAtRisk": 50000, "exportValue": 5000000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% hardware" }, { "industry": "Agriculture (Apples/Wheat/Cherries)", "jobsAtRisk": 35000, "exportValue": 4500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-70%" }, { "industry": "Port & Logistics", "jobsAtRisk": 25000, "exportValue": 3000000000, "tariffExposure": "Volume decline 15%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Commercial Aircraft", "direction": "export", "value": 15000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Apples", "direction": "export", "value": 2000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 50%" }, { "product": "Wheat", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 20%" }, { "product": "Titanium & Carbon Fiber", "direction": "import", "value": 3500000000, "tariffRate": "15-25%" }, { "product": "Consumer Electronics (Amazon)", "direction": "import", "value": 12000000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["CA", "OR", "CT"], "keyFacts": [ "Boeing's Everett factory is the world's largest building by volume — tariffs on imported components add $1.5M per aircraft", "China's retaliatory tariffs cut Washington apple exports by 70% — devastating Yakima Valley orchards", "The Port of Seattle/Tacoma handles $75B in annual trade, primarily with Asia — tariffs directly reduce container volumes", "Washington exports more per capita than any large state — making tariff retaliation disproportionately painful", "Amazon's Seattle HQ coordinates imports for 300M+ customers — every tariff increase raises prices across the marketplace" ] }, { "abbr": "WV", "name": "West Virginia", "topExports": ["Coal", "Chemicals", "Auto Parts"], "exportValueAtRisk": 2800000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 15000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1450, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Coal", "Chemicals", "Hardwood"], "impactScore": 48, "analysis": "West Virginia's tariff story is one of mixed signals for an economy already in transition. The state's coal industry — still the economic backbone of southern counties — sees some benefit from tariffs that raise costs on competing imported coal, but the bigger threat is retaliatory tariffs from India and other Asian nations on metallurgical coal exports. West Virginia produces 80% of US metallurgical coal (used for steelmaking), and Asian markets are critical buyers. The state's chemical industry along the Kanawha Valley — Dow, Union Carbide legacy operations, specialty chemical firms — faces tariffs on imported feedstocks while retaliatory measures threaten exports. Toyota's Buffalo plant and the Procter & Gamble facility in Berkeley County depend on imported components and materials. West Virginia's hardwood lumber industry is among the nation's finest — Appalachian hardwoods are prized worldwide — but Chinese tariffs on American hardwood exports have hit sawmills across the state. The state's emerging technology sector (NOAA operations in Fairmont, FBI fingerprint center in Clarksburg) is less trade-exposed. West Virginia's low median income means even the relatively modest $1,450 per-household tariff burden represents a significant share of family budgets.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Coal (Metallurgical)", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Chemicals", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 700000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% feedstocks" }, { "industry": "Hardwood Lumber", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-25%" }, { "industry": "Automotive Parts", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 300000000, "tariffExposure": "25%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Metallurgical Coal", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Specialty Chemicals", "direction": "export", "value": 700000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Appalachian Hardwood", "direction": "export", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Chemical Feedstocks", "direction": "import", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Auto Parts (Toyota)", "direction": "import", "value": 300000000, "tariffRate": "25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["KY", "PA", "VA"], "keyFacts": [ "West Virginia produces 80% of US metallurgical coal — critical for steelmaking and increasingly threatened by retaliatory tariffs", "Appalachian hardwood lumber is prized worldwide, but China's retaliatory tariffs have cut exports by 40%", "WV's median household income is among the nation's lowest — the $1,450 tariff burden hits harder proportionally", "The Kanawha Valley chemical corridor traces back to Union Carbide's 1920s operations — tariffs on feedstocks threaten this legacy industry" ] }, { "abbr": "WI", "name": "Wisconsin", "topExports": ["Machinery", "Vehicles", "Dairy"], "exportValueAtRisk": 10000000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 68000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1700, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Dairy", "Ginseng", "Cranberries"], "impactScore": 69, "analysis": "Wisconsin is America's Dairyland and its machinery heartland — and tariffs hit both identities hard. The state's dairy industry, the nation's second-largest, has been transformed by Mexican and Chinese markets that buy Wisconsin cheese, butter, and milk powder in growing volumes. Mexico's retaliatory tariffs on US dairy products directly threaten Wisconsin's 6,400 remaining dairy farms and the massive processing infrastructure (Sargento, Grande Cheese, Land O'Lakes) that depends on export growth. Wisconsin's machinery sector — Rockwell Automation, Oshkosh Corp, Joy Global (Komatsu), Snap-on, Harley-Davidson — exports globally and faces retaliatory tariffs specifically targeting these products. The EU slapped retaliatory tariffs on Harley-Davidson motorcycles, prompting the Milwaukee icon to shift some production overseas — a devastating symbolic blow. Wisconsin grows 60% of US ginseng, and China's retaliatory tariffs devastated Marathon County growers who depended on the Chinese market for 80% of sales. The state's cranberry bogs (producing 60% of US cranberries) face retaliatory barriers. Wisconsin's paper industry in the Fox Valley imports chemicals and exports finished products in a globally integrated chain now disrupted. Foxconn's troubled Mount Pleasant facility epitomizes the complexity of tariff-era manufacturing incentives.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Dairy Farming & Processing", "jobsAtRisk": 20000, "exportValue": 3200000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Machinery (Rockwell/Oshkosh)", "jobsAtRisk": 18000, "exportValue": 3000000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "industry": "Motorcycles (Harley-Davidson)", "jobsAtRisk": 5000, "exportValue": 1500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 31% (EU)" }, { "industry": "Specialty Agriculture (Ginseng/Cranberry)", "jobsAtRisk": 8000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-30%" }, { "industry": "Paper & Forestry", "jobsAtRisk": 10000, "exportValue": 1200000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% chemicals" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Dairy Products", "direction": "export", "value": 3200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "product": "Industrial Machinery", "direction": "export", "value": 3000000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Harley-Davidson Motorcycles", "direction": "export", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 31%" }, { "product": "Steel & Metals", "direction": "import", "value": 2500000000, "tariffRate": "25%" }, { "product": "Paper Chemicals", "direction": "import", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["MN", "IA", "MI"], "keyFacts": [ "EU retaliatory tariffs on Harley-Davidson prompted the Milwaukee icon to move some production overseas — a devastating symbolic blow", "Wisconsin grows 60% of US ginseng — China's retaliatory tariff cut Marathon County growers' primary market by 80%", "Wisconsin's 6,400 dairy farms depend on Mexican cheese exports that retaliatory tariffs now threaten", "The state produces 60% of US cranberries — retaliatory tariffs in Asian markets hurt Ocean Spray and independent growers", "Oshkosh Corp builds military trucks and fire engines using globally-sourced components now subject to tariffs" ] }, { "abbr": "WY", "name": "Wyoming", "topExports": ["Coal", "Soda Ash", "Chemicals"], "exportValueAtRisk": 1500000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 8000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 1420, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Coal", "Soda Ash", "Beef"], "impactScore": 38, "analysis": "Wyoming's economy is the most energy-concentrated in America, and tariffs create a complex calculus for the nation's least-populated state. Wyoming produces 40% of all US coal — more than any other state — and while thermal coal faces declining domestic demand, metallurgical coal and thermal exports to Asia are threatened by retaliatory tariffs. The state's soda ash industry is a hidden trade giant: Wyoming's Green River Basin contains the world's largest natural soda ash (trona) deposits, producing 90% of US soda ash used in glass manufacturing worldwide. China's retaliatory tariffs on soda ash directly threaten Wyoming's most globally competitive product. The state's oil and gas production in the Powder River Basin faces tariffs on imported drilling equipment and steel pipe. Wyoming's cattle ranchers — the state is 97% rangeland — face retaliatory tariffs on beef exports to Japan and China. The state's tiny population (580,000) means trade losses are amplified per capita. Wyoming has no income tax, but tariff-driven increases in consumer goods prices effectively create a regressive consumption tax. The state's growing wind energy and data center sectors (Microsoft in Cheyenne) depend on imported equipment and hardware subject to tariffs.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Coal Mining", "jobsAtRisk": 3000, "exportValue": 600000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 15-25%" }, { "industry": "Soda Ash (Trona)", "jobsAtRisk": 2500, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 20-30%" }, { "industry": "Oil & Gas", "jobsAtRisk": 1500, "exportValue": 300000000, "tariffExposure": "25% on steel pipe" }, { "industry": "Cattle Ranching", "jobsAtRisk": 800, "exportValue": 100000000, "tariffExposure": "Retaliatory 25-38%" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Coal", "direction": "export", "value": 600000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 15%" }, { "product": "Soda Ash (Trona)", "direction": "export", "value": 500000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory 25%" }, { "product": "Crude Oil & Gas", "direction": "export", "value": 300000000, "tariffRate": "Variable" }, { "product": "Mining & Drilling Equipment", "direction": "import", "value": 300000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Wind Turbine Components", "direction": "import", "value": 200000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["MT", "WV", "ND"], "keyFacts": [ "Wyoming produces 40% of all US coal — more than any other state, but export markets face retaliatory tariffs", "Wyoming's Green River Basin holds the world's largest natural soda ash deposits — 90% of US production for global glass markets", "China's retaliatory tariffs on soda ash threaten Wyoming's most globally competitive non-energy export", "Wyoming's 580,000 population is the nation's smallest — trade losses are amplified more per capita than any state" ] }, { "abbr": "DC", "name": "District of Columbia", "topExports": ["Professional Services", "Legal Services", "Technology"], "exportValueAtRisk": 2500000000, "estimatedJobsAffected": 15000, "tariffBurdenPerHousehold": 2150, "topRetaliationProducts": ["Professional Services", "Consulting", "Tourism"], "impactScore": 55, "analysis": "The District of Columbia occupies a unique position in the tariff landscape: it's where tariff policy is made, and its economy is shaped almost entirely by that policy apparatus and the federal government it supports. DC's direct trade exposure is minimal — it doesn't manufacture goods or grow crops — but its service economy is deeply affected. The district's massive law firms (many of the world's largest) see billable hours surge in trade compliance and litigation as companies navigate tariff complexity, creating a perverse economic stimulus. Think tanks, lobbying firms, and trade associations generate revenue from tariff policy debates. However, DC residents bear among the highest per-household tariff costs in the nation ($2,150) because the district's high incomes correspond to high consumption of imported goods — luxury items, electronics, vehicles, and clothing all carry tariff premiums. The tourism industry, DC's largest private sector, suffers as trade tensions reduce international visitors who might otherwise visit the National Mall. Restaurants and retailers in Georgetown and along the waterfront face higher costs on imported food, wine, and goods. DC's real estate market, driven by federal and lobbying employment, is indirectly affected when trade policy uncertainty slows economic growth and government hiring. Foreign embassies reduce staffing and spending during diplomatic tensions that accompany trade wars.", "topIndustries": [ { "industry": "Trade Law & Compliance", "jobsAtRisk": -5000, "exportValue": 800000000, "tariffExposure": "Benefits from complexity" }, { "industry": "Tourism & Hospitality", "jobsAtRisk": 6000, "exportValue": 700000000, "tariffExposure": "Indirect — visitor decline" }, { "industry": "Think Tanks & Advocacy", "jobsAtRisk": 2000, "exportValue": 500000000, "tariffExposure": "Mixed — policy demand up" }, { "industry": "Retail & Restaurants", "jobsAtRisk": 4000, "exportValue": 300000000, "tariffExposure": "10-25% on imports" } ], "topProducts": [ { "product": "Legal & Consulting Services", "direction": "export", "value": 1200000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory restrictions" }, { "product": "Technology Services", "direction": "export", "value": 800000000, "tariffRate": "Retaliatory restrictions" }, { "product": "Consumer Goods", "direction": "import", "value": 3500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" }, { "product": "Luxury Imports (vehicles, wine, etc.)", "direction": "import", "value": 1500000000, "tariffRate": "10-25%" } ], "comparisonStates": ["MD", "VA"], "keyFacts": [ "DC's trade law firms have seen a 40% increase in tariff-related billable hours — the district profits from trade complexity", "The $2,150 per-household tariff burden is among the nation's highest, driven by high-income consumption patterns", "Foreign embassy staffing reductions during trade tensions remove millions in spending from the DC economy", "DC's tourism industry — 24 million visitors annually — sees international visitor numbers drop 8-12% during trade wars" ] } ]