Kentucky

KYHigh Impact71/100

Kentucky faces a uniquely painful tariff cocktail: its two signature industries — bourbon and automobiles — are both prime retaliation targets. The EU's 25% retaliatory tariff on American whiskey was specifically designed to hit Kentucky, which produces 95% of the world's bourbon. Exports to the EU dropped 35% after tariffs took effect, devastating distilleries from Bardstown to Louisville. Toyota's Georgetown plant — the company's largest globally, producing 550,000 Camrys and RAV4s annually — faces 25% tariffs on imported parts from Japan that raise per-vehicle costs by an estimated $2,700. Ford's Louisville Assembly Plant and two truck plants add to the state's massive auto exposure. GE Aviation in Evendale (just across the Ohio border but with deep Kentucky supply chains) and Lexington's aerospace suppliers face retaliatory tariffs on engine exports. Kentucky's tobacco industry, already in decline, sees retaliatory tariffs close remaining Asian markets. The UPS Worldport at Louisville's airport — the company's global air hub sorting 2 million packages nightly — processes goods that are all more expensive under tariff regimes.

💡
Tariffs cost the average Kentucky household $1,580/year — that's 72,000 jobs at risk and $11.0B in exports threatened by foreign retaliation. Kentucky scores 71/100 on tariff impact severity.

Impact Score

📊

71/100

High Impact

Household Tariff Cost

🏠

$1,580

Annual estimated burden

Jobs at Risk

👷

72,000

Trade-dependent employment

Exports at Risk

📦

$11.0B

Annual export value threatened

🏭 Industry Impact

IndustryJobs at RiskExport ValueTariff Exposure
Automotive (Toyota/Ford)28,000$4.5B25% auto tariff
Bourbon & Spirits12,000$2.2BRetaliatory 25% (EU)
Aerospace15,000$2.5BRetaliatory 10-15%
Tobacco5,000$800.0MRetaliatory 20-25%

📦 Key Trade Products

Exports

Assembled Vehicles$4.5B
25%
Bourbon Whiskey$2.2B
Retaliatory 25%
Jet Engines & Parts$2.5B
Retaliatory 10%

Imports

Auto Parts (Japan)$5.0B
25%
Aluminum (for bourbon barrels & auto)$800.0M
10%

🏭 Top Exports

Key industries facing trade disruption:

1Vehicles
2Aerospace
3Bourbon

🎯 Retaliation Targets

Products targeted by foreign retaliation:

⚠️Bourbon
⚠️Tobacco
⚠️Soybeans

💡 Did You Know?

  • Kentucky produces 95% of the world's bourbon — the EU's retaliatory tariff was deliberately aimed at the state
  • Toyota's Georgetown plant is the company's largest factory worldwide, producing 550,000 vehicles per year
  • Bourbon exports to the EU dropped 35% after the 25% retaliatory tariff took effect
  • UPS Worldport in Louisville sorts 2 million packages per night — tariff-affected goods flow through every single one

🔄 Similar Trade Profiles

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