Analysis & Explainers
Data-driven analysis of how tariffs affect industries, consumers, and the economy.
27 articles published📊 By the Numbers
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22
Articles Published
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15
Data Files, 100% Open
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$1,800/yr
Avg Household Cost
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80+
Products Tracked
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30
Countries Profiled
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51
State Impact Analyses
Who Really Pays: The Regressive Reality of Tariffs
Tariffs hit lower-income Americans hardest. Distributional analysis shows how this hidden tax widens inequality.
Mar 10, 2026
The $4,900 Hidden Tax: What Tariffs Cost Your Family in 2025
An itemized breakdown of how tariffs add nearly $4,900 to the average American household's annual costs.
Mar 8, 2026
State by State: Where Tariffs Hit Hardest
From Mississippi to California, tariff impacts vary dramatically by state. See where you rank.
Mar 5, 2026
Retaliation Scorecard: How the World Fights Back
A comprehensive tracker of retaliatory tariffs imposed by US trading partners in response to the 2025 tariff wave.
Mar 12, 2026
The Auto Tariff: How 25% Adds $10,000 to Your Next Car
A deep dive into the 25% auto tariff — the most expensive consumer tariff in modern history.
Mar 1, 2026
Farmers in the Crosshairs: How Retaliation Is Devastating Rural America
American farmers are the biggest casualties of the trade war. Retaliatory tariffs have cost agriculture tens of billions.
Feb 25, 2026
The Trade Deficit Myth: Why the Number Doesn't Mean What Politicians Say
Politicians use the trade deficit to justify tariffs. Here's why that logic is fundamentally wrong.
Feb 20, 2026
Did Tariffs Bring Back Manufacturing? The Data Says No.
After a decade of tariffs, the manufacturing jobs promised by protectionism still haven't materialized.
Feb 15, 2026
Smoot-Hawley 2.0? Why Economists See 1930s Parallels
The last time America tried tariffs this aggressive was 1930. It didn't end well. Here's the comparison.
Feb 10, 2026
De Minimis Is Dead: How Ending the $800 Rule Hits Online Shoppers
The elimination of the de minimis exemption means tariffs now apply to every single package entering the US.
Feb 5, 2026
Can a President Tax by Emergency Decree? The Constitutional Crisis of IEEPA Tariffs
The legal battle over whether the President can impose tariffs under emergency powers — and what it means for democracy.
Jan 30, 2026
Is Decoupling from China Working? The Data Behind the Divorce
The US is trying to decouple from China. But supply chains are sticky, costs are rising, and the alternatives aren't ready.
Jan 25, 2026
The Steel Tariff Paradox: Protecting 140K Jobs by Destroying 1.3 Million
Steel tariffs are the textbook case of concentrated benefits and dispersed costs. The math doesn't work.
Jan 20, 2026
Free People, Free Trade: The Principled Case Against Tariffs
From Adam Smith to Milton Friedman, the intellectual tradition of free trade is a defense of individual liberty.
Jan 15, 2026
How Tariffs Are Raising Your Grocery Bill
From avocados to olive oil, tariffs on food imports are driving up prices at every American grocery store. Here's exactly what you're paying more for — and why.
Mar 22, 2026
The Tech Tax: Tariffs on Your Phone, Laptop, and TV
A 54% tariff on Chinese electronics means your next iPhone could cost $650 more. Here's how tariffs are reshaping the consumer tech market.
Mar 20, 2026
Small Businesses Are Paying the Biggest Price
Fortune 500 companies can reroute supply chains and absorb tariff costs. Small businesses can't. Here's how tariffs are crushing America's entrepreneurs.
Mar 18, 2026
Tariffs vs Income Tax: Which One Hits You Harder?
Tariffs are often pitched as a replacement for income tax. But dollar for dollar, tariffs take more from the poor and less from the rich. Here's the math.
Mar 16, 2026
The Supreme Court Just Changed Trade Policy Forever
The Supreme Court's ruling on IEEPA tariff authority is the most significant trade law decision in decades. Here's what it means for the future of American trade policy.
Mar 14, 2026
The Tariff Scoreboard: Who's Winning and Who's Losing
Industry by industry, company by company — here's who's actually benefiting from tariffs and who's paying the price, with real data.
Mar 12, 2026
USMCA Was Supposed to Fix This: The North American Trade Crisis
The US-Mexico-Canada Agreement was hailed as 'the best trade deal ever.' Then came 25% tariffs on both partners. Here's how tariffs on allies undermine the agreement.
Mar 10, 2026
April 2026: SCOTUS Killed IEEPA Tariffs, But the Trade War Isn’t Over
The Supreme Court struck down IEEPA tariffs, but the administration pivoted to Section 122. China faces a 31.6% effective rate. $224.8B collected. Here’s where things stand.
Apr 17, 2026
Section 122 Expires in July: What Happens When the Clock Runs Out?
The administration's Section 122 tariffs expire after 150 days unless Congress acts. Here's every scenario for what comes next — and why it matters for your wallet.
Apr 21, 2026
Why Your Dream Home Costs $10,000 More: The Housing Tariff Crisis
Tariffs on lumber, steel, appliances, and building materials have added $7,500-$10,800 to the cost of a new home — worsening America's housing affordability crisis.
Apr 19, 2026
The $175 Billion Question: Will Importers Get Their IEEPA Tariff Money Back?
The Supreme Court voided IEEPA tariffs. Importers paid $175 billion under an unlawful regime. The refund process could take years — and reshape federal budgets.
Apr 15, 2026
Penn Wharton's April 2026 Data: The Numbers Behind the Trade War
The Penn Wharton Budget Model's latest release reveals $224.8B collected, 8.9% effective rate, China at 31.6%. Here's what every number means for you.
Apr 17, 2026